TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12352463
Played Aug 3Finished
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911411––––
Anatolii Nazarov
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nazarov to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Anatolii Nazarov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Anatolii Nazarov at 65.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 4–7 Anatolii Nazarov Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Nazarov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Nazarov
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1612 vs Nazarov 1686
Nazarov
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 20% vs Nazarov 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 50% vs Nazarov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko -3 · Nazarov -2
Hrytsenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Nazarov) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nazarov form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 2.63 / Nazarov 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Nazarov)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12352463
Hrytsenko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 71 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 43
Nazarov1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 72 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it77% 44 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko3wins
AwayNazarov7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNazarov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko40%2 of 5
AwayNazarov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko5Nazarov5n = 10split evenly
S2Hrytsenko5Nazarov5n = 10split evenly
S3Hrytsenko4Nazarov6n = 10Nazarov took 6 of 10
S4Hrytsenko2Nazarov6n = 8Nazarov took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoNazarovH − NBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.537.5−4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoNazarovBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 610 vs 383 / 71448.5%53.6%296 / 610 vs 383 / 714Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NazarovHrytsenko 2.63/Nazarov 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Nazarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nazarov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko—4940A. Nazarov—1111113
LJul 20 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko—1151171A. Nazarov—81113113
LJun 1 · 20:50E. Hrytsenko—1071161A. Nazarov—12116113
LMay 25 · 20:50E. Hrytsenko—118651A. Nazarov—81111113
WMay 18 · 19:50E. Hrytsenko—111311113A. Nazarov—1311671
LMay 5 · 05:50E. Hrytsenko—11118962A. Nazarov—391111113
LMay 4 · 20:50E. Hrytsenko—861111A. Nazarov—11117113
LMay 1 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko—1115121A. Nazarov—11611143
WApr 27 · 20:50E. Hrytsenko—11118113A. Nazarov—931171
WApr 23 · 20:50E. Hrytsenko—1111113A. Nazarov—8970
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113WSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113WSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991WSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842
A. Nazarov10
LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861LSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov2.1011121111102O. Strutinskiy1.679101313123LSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711114113A. Nazarov2.10431141WSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 3 · 18:30A. Nazarov1.73159118113A. Derevianko2.00131131132LAug 3 · 15:30A. Nazarov2.007590O. Strutinskiy1.731111113LAug 3 · 14:30Y. Riadynskyi1.6111118113A. Nazarov2.20561181WAug 3 · 13:00A. Nazarov2.751111113A. Lievshin1.407420LAug 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.8361112113A. Nazarov1.831191091
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