TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055738
Played Sep 1Finished
Yehor Opryshchenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114113411114––
Anatolii Nazarov
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeYehor Opryshchenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYehor Opryshchenko above · Anatolii Nazarov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 59 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Yehor Opryshchenko at 55.8%
59 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Opryshchenko 3–2 Anatolii Nazarov Anatolii Nazarov has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:55What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Opryshchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opryshchenko 1649 vs Nazarov 1660
Nazarov
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opryshchenko 60% vs Nazarov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opryshchenko 70% vs Nazarov 50%
Opryshchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opryshchenko +1 · Nazarov +3
Nazarov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Opryshchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nazarov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpryshchenko 1.67 / Nazarov 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Opryshchenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055738
Opryshchenko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 38 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 28 of 39
Nazarov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 47 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeOpryshchenko3wins
AwayNazarov2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderOpryshchenko leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpryshchenko75%3 of 4
AwayNazarovn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opryshchenko4Nazarov1n = 5Opryshchenko took 4 of 5
S2Opryshchenko5Nazarov0n = 5Opryshchenko took 5 of 5
S3Opryshchenko0Nazarov5n = 5Nazarov took 5 of 5
S4Opryshchenko4Nazarov1n = 5Opryshchenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricOpryshchenkoNazarovO − NBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match43.638.2+5.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpryshchenkoNazarovBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 100 vs 359 / 65550%54.8%50 / 100 vs 359 / 655Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpryshchenkoOpryshchenko 1.67/Nazarov 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Opryshchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Opryshchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 1 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko—11114113A. Nazarov—431141
WAug 1 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko—11136153A. Nazarov—81111131
WJul 30 · 18:30Y. Opryshchenko—11114113A. Nazarov—461171
LJul 27 · 13:00Y. Opryshchenko—1111510102A. Nazarov—981112123
LJul 9 · 16:30Y. Opryshchenko—1011111192A. Nazarov—124136113
Y. Opryshchenko10
LSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650WSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842
A. Nazarov10
LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861LSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov2.1011121111102O. Strutinskiy1.679101313123LSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940WSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 3 · 18:30A. Nazarov1.73159118113A. Derevianko2.00131131132WAug 3 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.634940A. Nazarov1.441111113LAug 3 · 15:30A. Nazarov2.007590O. Strutinskiy1.731111113LAug 3 · 14:30Y. Riadynskyi1.6111118113A. Nazarov2.20561181WAug 3 · 13:00A. Nazarov2.751111113A. Lievshin1.407420LAug 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.8361112113A. Nazarov1.831191091
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