TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067649
Played Sep 3Finished
Yehor Opryshchenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012411119118911
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYehor Opryshchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYehor Opryshchenko above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Yehor Opryshchenko at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Opryshchenko 7–5 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Oleksandr Strutinskiy has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Opryshchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Opryshchenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opryshchenko 1597 vs Strutinskiy 1742
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opryshchenko 0% vs Strutinskiy 40%
Strutinskiy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opryshchenko 30% vs Strutinskiy 50%
Strutinskiy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opryshchenko -5 · Strutinskiy -2
Opryshchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strutinskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpryshchenko 1.80 / Strutinskiy 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067649
Opryshchenko1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 38 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 28 of 39
Strutinskiy1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 63 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOpryshchenko5wins
AwayStrutinskiy5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpryshchenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayStrutinskiy100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opryshchenko6Strutinskiy4n = 10Opryshchenko took 6 of 10
S2Opryshchenko5Strutinskiy5n = 10split evenly
S3Opryshchenko8Strutinskiy2n = 10Opryshchenko took 8 of 10
S4Opryshchenko3Strutinskiy4n = 7Strutinskiy took 4 of 7
S5Opryshchenko1Strutinskiy3n = 4Strutinskiy took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOpryshchenkoStrutinskiyO − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.536.6+2.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpryshchenkoStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 105 vs 397 / 77647.6%51.2%50 / 105 vs 397 / 776Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyOpryshchenko 1.80/Strutinskiy 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko—104111192O. Strutinskiy—121198113
WSep 1 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko—11811113O. Strutinskiy—811861
LAug 31 · 19:00Y. Opryshchenko—9111261O. Strutinskiy—11914113
LAug 25 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko—71111782O. Strutinskiy—117811113
LAug 24 · 14:00Y. Opryshchenko—1051171O. Strutinskiy—12118113
LAug 18 · 11:20Y. Opryshchenko—11681562O. Strutinskiy—6111113113
WAug 17 · 19:00Y. Opryshchenko—119116123O. Strutinskiy—511911102
WAug 15 · 11:20Y. Opryshchenko—1111113O. Strutinskiy—3540
WAug 14 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko—1111113O. Strutinskiy—9260
WJul 18 · 09:50Y. Opryshchenko—1111113O. Strutinskiy—4790
Y. Opryshchenko10
LSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650WSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842LSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172LSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123LSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111
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