TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067497
Played Sep 3Finished
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115911611118114
Yehor Opryshchenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvhenii Hrytsenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Yehor Opryshchenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 87 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Evhenii Hrytsenko at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 4–2 Yehor Opryshchenko Yehor Opryshchenko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:59What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Opryshchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Hrytsenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1670 vs Opryshchenko 1639
Hrytsenko
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 0% vs Opryshchenko 40%
Opryshchenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 20% vs Opryshchenko 50%
Opryshchenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko -5 · Opryshchenko -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrytsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opryshchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 1.83 / Opryshchenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrytsenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067497
Hrytsenko1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Opryshchenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHrytsenko4wins
AwayOpryshchenko2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderHrytsenko leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko80%4 of 5
AwayOpryshchenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko5Opryshchenko1n = 6Hrytsenko took 5 of 6
S2Hrytsenko3Opryshchenko3n = 6split evenly
S3Hrytsenko1Opryshchenko5n = 6Opryshchenko took 5 of 6
S4Hrytsenko2Opryshchenko2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoOpryshchenkoH − OBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match37.333.7+3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoOpryshchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime313 / 640 vs 50 / 10148.9%49.5%313 / 640 vs 50 / 101Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrytsenkoHrytsenko 1.83/Opryshchenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrytsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko—119611113Y. Opryshchenko—51111842
LAug 31 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko—89110Y. Opryshchenko—1111133
WAug 25 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko—111164113Y. Opryshchenko—94111192
WAug 24 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko—11119113Y. Opryshchenko—741191
WAug 18 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko—1111113Y. Opryshchenko—6250
LAug 17 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko—119461Y. Opryshchenko—71111113
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113WSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113WSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991LAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671
Y. Opryshchenko10
LSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650WSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113
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