TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073434
Played Sep 4Finished
Yehor Opryshchenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 2
Set by set
121081125––––
Andrii Derevianko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Derevianko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingYehor Opryshchenko above · Andrii Derevianko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 2-5
Point 48 set 3, 2-5 — our read held Andrii Derevianko at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Opryshchenko 9–7 Andrii Derevianko Andrii Derevianko has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Derevianko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Opryshchenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opryshchenko 1644 vs Derevianko 1723
Derevianko
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opryshchenko 80% vs Derevianko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opryshchenko 40% vs Derevianko 70%
Derevianko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opryshchenko +4 · Derevianko +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Derevianko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derevianko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpryshchenko 1.83 / Derevianko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Derevianko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073434
Opryshchenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Derevianko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOpryshchenko4wins
AwayDerevianko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDerevianko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpryshchenko25%1 of 4
AwayDerevianko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opryshchenko4Derevianko6n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S2Opryshchenko2Derevianko8n = 10Derevianko took 8 of 10
S3Opryshchenko4Derevianko6n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S4Opryshchenko6Derevianko2n = 8Opryshchenko took 6 of 8
S5Opryshchenko2Derevianko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOpryshchenkoDereviankoO − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.941.9−6.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpryshchenkoDereviankoBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 109 vs 463 / 97449.5%47.5%54 / 109 vs 463 / 974Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoOpryshchenko 1.83/Derevianko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–2
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 15:30Y. Opryshchenko—3550A. Derevianko—1111113
LSep 1 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko—6101171A. Derevianko—11129113
WAug 31 · 15:30Y. Opryshchenko—41112113A. Derevianko—1171061
WAug 25 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko—119711113A. Derevianko—81111892
LAug 24 · 13:00Y. Opryshchenko—8990A. Derevianko—1111113
WAug 18 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko—71311113A. Derevianko—1111961
LAug 17 · 17:00Y. Opryshchenko—12541292A. Derevianko—10111110113
LAug 15 · 12:20Y. Opryshchenko—111161182A. Derevianko—813118113
LAug 14 · 12:00Y. Opryshchenko—116571A. Derevianko—71111113
WAug 1 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko—421111113A. Derevianko—11119892
Y. Opryshchenko10
WSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650WSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842LSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113
A. Derevianko10
WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113WSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991LSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861
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