TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073251
Played Sep 4Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511811115114119
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:31 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Derevianko to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Yevhen Skorobahatyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 86 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Andrii Derevianko at 72.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 21–4 Yevhen Skorobahatyi Yevhen Skorobahatyi has won 4 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Derevianko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-4 in 25
Derevianko
Correct
gap of 17 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1688 vs Skorobahatyi 1612
Derevianko
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 60% vs Skorobahatyi 40%
Derevianko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 60% vs Skorobahatyi 40%
Derevianko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko +1 · Skorobahatyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Derevianko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derevianko form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 1.36 / Skorobahatyi 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Derevianko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13073251
Derevianko1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 80 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it86% 55 of 64
Skorobahatyi3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 19 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko8wins
AwaySkorobahatyi2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDerevianko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko100%5 of 5
AwaySkorobahatyi40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko5Skorobahatyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Derevianko6Skorobahatyi4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S3Derevianko7Skorobahatyi3n = 10Derevianko took 7 of 10
S4Derevianko5Skorobahatyi2n = 7Derevianko took 5 of 7
S5Derevianko3Skorobahatyi1n = 4Derevianko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoSkorobahatyiD − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.135.6+6.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoSkorobahatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 971 vs 135 / 27847.4%48.6%460 / 971 vs 135 / 278Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoDerevianko 1.36/Skorobahatyi 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko—1111113Y. Skorobahatyi—3680
WAug 7 · 06:50A. Derevianko—81111113Y. Skorobahatyi—117861
WAug 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko—81116113Y. Skorobahatyi—1191461
LJul 3 · 10:50A. Derevianko—8990Y. Skorobahatyi—1111113
LApr 17 · 12:20A. Derevianko—89111182Y. Skorobahatyi—111186113
WApr 11 · 11:50A. Derevianko—119916113Y. Skorobahatyi—911111472
WMar 13 · 07:20A. Derevianko—11411113Y. Skorobahatyi—711761
WMar 12 · 17:20A. Derevianko—1111113Y. Skorobahatyi—8340
WFeb 20 · 14:10A. Derevianko—911119103Y. Skorobahatyi—11671162
WFeb 6 · 12:05A. Derevianko—1111911103Y. Skorobahatyi—79111382
A. Derevianko10
WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113WSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991LSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861
Y. Skorobahatyi10
LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650LSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113LAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko1.401111113Y. Skorobahatyi2.753680WAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 16:00Y. Skorobahatyi2.383540O. Strutinskiy1.531111113WAug 27 · 14:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.751211113V. Maksuta1.4010980LAug 27 · 12:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.638560A. Zozulia1.441111113WAug 7 · 12:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.631211911113I. Nitchenko1.4414811742
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.