TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022743
Played Aug 27Finished
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511411––––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 45 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 63.2%
45 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 5–19 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Yevhen Skorobahatyi has won 5 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-19 in 24
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 14 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1635 vs Strutinskiy 1678
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 60% vs Strutinskiy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 40% vs Strutinskiy 70%
Strutinskiy
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi +1 · Strutinskiy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Strutinskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorobahatyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 2.38 / Strutinskiy 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13022743
Skorobahatyi2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Strutinskiy1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 149 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it89% 80 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it75% 107 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorobahatyi2wins
AwayStrutinskiy8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorobahatyi40%2 of 5
AwayStrutinskiy100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorobahatyi5Strutinskiy5n = 10split evenly
S2Skorobahatyi2Strutinskiy8n = 10Strutinskiy took 8 of 10
S3Skorobahatyi2Strutinskiy8n = 10Strutinskiy took 8 of 10
S4Skorobahatyi4Strutinskiy3n = 7Skorobahatyi took 4 of 7
S5Skorobahatyi1Strutinskiy3n = 4Strutinskiy took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorobahatyiStrutinskiySkorobahatyi − StrutinskiyBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.540.5−7.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 279 vs 391 / 76949.1%50.9%137 / 279 vs 391 / 769Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiySkorobahatyi 2.38/Strutinskiy 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 07:50Y. Skorobahatyi—7101171O. Strutinskiy—11129113
LAug 4 · 11:20Y. Skorobahatyi—11117962O. Strutinskiy—881111113
LApr 11 · 10:50Y. Skorobahatyi—1310111152O. Strutinskiy—151249113
LApr 10 · 20:50Y. Skorobahatyi—115241O. Strutinskiy—51111113
LMar 13 · 11:50Y. Skorobahatyi—11871162O. Strutinskiy—911119113
LMar 12 · 16:20Y. Skorobahatyi—5270O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WJan 20 · 07:50Y. Skorobahatyi—11114113O. Strutinskiy—881151
LJan 19 · 22:20Y. Skorobahatyi—10640O. Strutinskiy—1211113
WJan 6 · 13:20Y. Skorobahatyi—1110811113O. Strutinskiy—21211882
LJan 5 · 20:20Y. Skorobahatyi—7480O. Strutinskiy—1111113
Y. Skorobahatyi10
LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650LSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492LSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113LAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko1.401111113Y. Skorobahatyi2.753680WAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182WAug 27 · 14:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.751211113V. Maksuta1.4010980LAug 27 · 12:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.638560A. Zozulia1.441111113WAug 7 · 12:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.631211911113I. Nitchenko1.4414811742
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172LSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.