TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022632
Played Aug 27Finished
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119118––––
Volodymir Maksuta
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Volodymir Maksuta below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 61 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 69.1%
61 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 0–2 Volodymir Maksuta Yevhen Skorobahatyi has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Maksuta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1617 vs Maksuta 1708
Maksuta
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 40% vs Maksuta 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 30% vs Maksuta 50%
Maksuta
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi -1 · Maksuta -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Maksuta) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksuta form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 2.75 / Maksuta 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Maksuta)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022632
Skorobahatyi2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Maksuta1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 87 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it83% 69 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkorobahatyi0wins
AwayMaksuta2wins
Maksuta leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkorobahatyiMaksutaS − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.539.0−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiMaksutaBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 278 vs 157 / 26448.9%59.5%136 / 278 vs 157 / 264Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaSkorobahatyi 2.75/Maksuta 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skorobahatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 28 · 15:40Y. Skorobahatyi—117881V. Maksuta—71111113
LMay 19 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi—811661V. Maksuta—11511113
Y. Skorobahatyi10
LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650LSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492LSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113LAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko1.401111113Y. Skorobahatyi2.753680WAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 16:00Y. Skorobahatyi2.383540O. Strutinskiy1.531111113LAug 27 · 12:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.638560A. Zozulia1.441111113WAug 7 · 12:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.631211911113I. Nitchenko1.4414811742
V. Maksuta10
LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.331111113Y. Opryshchenko3.255750LAug 31 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.50115991V. Savoliuk1.5091111113
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