TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049451
Played Aug 31Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411711––––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 3–3 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:05What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Maksuta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1677 vs Strutinskiy 1737
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 40% vs Strutinskiy 80%
Strutinskiy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 40% vs Strutinskiy 80%
Strutinskiy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta +1 · Strutinskiy +3
Strutinskiy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strutinskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.80 / Strutinskiy 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13049451
Maksuta1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 85 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it82% 68 of 83
Strutinskiy1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 61 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMaksuta3wins
AwayStrutinskiy3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta66.7%2 of 3
AwayStrutinskiy66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta3Strutinskiy3n = 6split evenly
S2Maksuta2Strutinskiy4n = 6Strutinskiy took 4 of 6
S3Maksuta3Strutinskiy3n = 6split evenly
S4Maksuta2Strutinskiy3n = 5Strutinskiy took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricMaksutaStrutinskiyM − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.039.3−0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 270 vs 398 / 77858.9%51.2%159 / 270 vs 398 / 778Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyMaksuta 1.80/Strutinskiy 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta—13121081O. Strutinskiy—111412113
WAug 20 · 12:30V. Maksuta—61311113O. Strutinskiy—1111971
WAug 17 · 15:30V. Maksuta—11412113O. Strutinskiy—7111041
WAug 14 · 15:30V. Maksuta—1111109113O. Strutinskiy—84121192
LAug 6 · 13:30V. Maksuta—871171O. Strutinskiy—11118113
LJun 25 · 17:50V. Maksuta—9990O. Strutinskiy—1111113
V. Maksuta10
LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123WAug 31 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.331111113Y. Opryshchenko3.255750LAug 31 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.50115991V. Savoliuk1.5091111113LAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta1.6713121081O. Strutinskiy2.10111412113
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta1.6713121081O. Strutinskiy2.10111412113
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