TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073245
Played Sep 4Finished
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
14161513811911––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 97 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 64.1%
97 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 5–20 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Yevhen Skorobahatyi has won 5 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-20 in 25
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 15 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1578 vs Strutinskiy 1706
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 0% vs Strutinskiy 40%
Strutinskiy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 30% vs Strutinskiy 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi -5 · Strutinskiy -2
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 2.50 / Strutinskiy 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13073245
Skorobahatyi2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 19 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Strutinskiy1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 150 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it87% 77 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it73% 107 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorobahatyi2wins
AwayStrutinskiy8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorobahatyi40%2 of 5
AwayStrutinskiy100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorobahatyi5Strutinskiy5n = 10split evenly
S2Skorobahatyi2Strutinskiy8n = 10Strutinskiy took 8 of 10
S3Skorobahatyi2Strutinskiy8n = 10Strutinskiy took 8 of 10
S4Skorobahatyi4Strutinskiy3n = 7Skorobahatyi took 4 of 7
S5Skorobahatyi1Strutinskiy3n = 4Strutinskiy took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorobahatyiStrutinskiySkorobahatyi − StrutinskiyBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.840.5−7.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 281 vs 398 / 78048%51%135 / 281 vs 398 / 780Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiySkorobahatyi 2.50/Strutinskiy 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 16:00Y. Skorobahatyi—3540O. Strutinskiy—1111113
LAug 7 · 07:50Y. Skorobahatyi—7101171O. Strutinskiy—11129113
LAug 4 · 11:20Y. Skorobahatyi—11117962O. Strutinskiy—881111113
LApr 11 · 10:50Y. Skorobahatyi—1310111152O. Strutinskiy—151249113
LApr 10 · 20:50Y. Skorobahatyi—115241O. Strutinskiy—51111113
LMar 13 · 11:50Y. Skorobahatyi—11871162O. Strutinskiy—911119113
LMar 12 · 16:20Y. Skorobahatyi—5270O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WJan 20 · 07:50Y. Skorobahatyi—11114113O. Strutinskiy—881151
LJan 19 · 22:20Y. Skorobahatyi—10640O. Strutinskiy—1211113
WJan 6 · 13:20Y. Skorobahatyi—1110811113O. Strutinskiy—21211882
Y. Skorobahatyi10
LSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650LSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492LSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113LAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko1.401111113Y. Skorobahatyi2.753680WAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 16:00Y. Skorobahatyi2.383540O. Strutinskiy1.531111113WAug 27 · 14:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.751211113V. Maksuta1.4010980LAug 27 · 12:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.638560A. Zozulia1.441111113WAug 7 · 12:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.631211911113I. Nitchenko1.4414811742
O. Strutinskiy10
LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172LSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 27 · 16:00Y. Skorobahatyi2.383540O. Strutinskiy1.531111113
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