TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023216
Played Aug 27Finished
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191161315711118
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 102 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 54.3%
102 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 1–0 Maksym Deineha Maksym Deineha has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:58What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Deineha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1621 vs Deineha 1613
Skorobahatyi
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 60% vs Deineha 20%
Skorobahatyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 40% vs Deineha 20%
Skorobahatyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi -1 · Deineha -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Deineha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 1.91 / Deineha 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Deineha)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13023216
Skorobahatyi1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Deineha1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 16 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkorobahatyi1wins
AwayDeineha0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSkorobahatyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkorobahatyiDeinehaS − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match53.049.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 282 vs 31 / 5948.9%52.5%138 / 282 vs 31 / 59Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaSkorobahatyi 1.91/Deineha 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skorobahatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi—1111137113M. Deineha—96151182
Y. Skorobahatyi10
LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650LSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492LSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113LAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko1.401111113Y. Skorobahatyi2.753680LAug 27 · 16:00Y. Skorobahatyi2.383540O. Strutinskiy1.531111113WAug 27 · 14:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.751211113V. Maksuta1.4010980LAug 27 · 12:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.638560A. Zozulia1.441111113WAug 7 · 12:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.631211911113I. Nitchenko1.4414811742
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123LAug 24 · 19:00Y. Opryshchenko1.9171411113M. Deineha1.801112971
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