TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022569
Played Aug 27Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81111610121012––
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 2–3 Maksym Deineha Volodymir Maksuta has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1708 vs Deineha 1630
Maksuta
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 60% vs Deineha 20%
Maksuta
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 60% vs Deineha 30%
Maksuta
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta +2 · Deineha -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Deineha) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.83 / Deineha 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Deineha)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022569
Maksuta1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Deineha1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMaksuta2wins
AwayDeineha3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderDeineha leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta66.7%2 of 3
AwayDeinehan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta3Deineha2n = 5Maksuta took 3 of 5
S2Maksuta2Deineha3n = 5Deineha took 3 of 5
S3Maksuta2Deineha3n = 5Deineha took 3 of 5
S4Maksuta2Deineha1n = 3Maksuta took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricMaksutaDeinehaM − DBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.235.2+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 264 vs 30 / 5559.5%54.6%157 / 264 vs 30 / 55Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaMaksuta 1.83/Deineha 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta—81110101M. Deineha—11612123
LAug 20 · 14:30V. Maksuta—10870M. Deineha—1211113
WAug 14 · 13:00V. Maksuta—1111113M. Deineha—9770
WAug 5 · 17:40V. Maksuta—11611113M. Deineha—811371
LJul 29 · 17:40V. Maksuta—119101192M. Deineha—611129113
V. Maksuta10
LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.331111113Y. Opryshchenko3.255750LAug 31 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.50115991V. Savoliuk1.5091111113
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113LAug 24 · 19:00Y. Opryshchenko1.9171411113M. Deineha1.801112971
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.