TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049544
Played Aug 31Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511911911––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 60.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 0–1 Volodymyr Savoliuk Volodymir Maksuta has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1672 vs Savoliuk 1775
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 20% vs Savoliuk 100%
Savoliuk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 40% vs Savoliuk 70%
Savoliuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta -2 · Savoliuk +5
Savoliuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 2.50 / Savoliuk 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Savoliuk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13049544
Maksuta2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 22 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Savoliuk1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite69% won 126 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it87% 92 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMaksuta0wins
AwaySavoliuk1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMaksutaSavoliukM − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.047.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 268 vs 283 / 49359%57.4%158 / 268 vs 283 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukMaksuta 2.50/Savoliuk 1.50
Hit
What we said
65.3%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 14 · 14:30V. Maksuta—11951162V. Savoliuk—711117113
V. Maksuta10
LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.331111113Y. Opryshchenko3.255750LAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta1.6713121081O. Strutinskiy2.10111412113
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111WSep 1 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko2.0014911652V. Savoliuk1.731211811113WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk1.53111112123A. Derevianko2.386914101
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