TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055083
Played Sep 1Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11611912141210––
Andrii Derevianko
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Andrii Derevianko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 85 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 64.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 29–19 Andrii Derevianko Andrii Derevianko has won 19 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-19 in 48
Savoliuk
Correct
gap of 10 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1780 vs Derevianko 1690
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 40% vs Derevianko 60%
Derevianko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 70% vs Derevianko 50%
Savoliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk -2 · Derevianko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derevianko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 1.53 / Derevianko 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Savoliuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055083
Savoliuk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 129 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it87% 92 of 106
Derevianko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 127 of 323
Down 0–1, comes back22% 42 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSavoliuk6wins
AwayDerevianko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliuk100%4 of 4
AwayDerevianko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk4Derevianko6n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S2Savoliuk6Derevianko4n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S3Savoliuk5Derevianko5n = 10split evenly
S4Savoliuk6Derevianko1n = 7Savoliuk took 6 of 7
S5Savoliuk1Derevianko2n = 3Derevianko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSavoliukDereviankoS − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.738.5+0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukDereviankoBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 503 vs 460 / 96957.5%47.5%289 / 503 vs 460 / 969Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukSavoliuk 1.53/Derevianko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk—111112123A. Derevianko—6914101
LAug 31 · 18:30V. Savoliuk—81060A. Derevianko—1112113
WAug 28 · 11:50V. Savoliuk—12911113A. Derevianko—1011971
WAug 25 · 08:20V. Savoliuk—15115113A. Derevianko—1391131
WAug 24 · 14:30V. Savoliuk—81411113A. Derevianko—1112861
LAug 15 · 06:50V. Savoliuk—611811152A. Derevianko—115116173
LAug 14 · 18:00V. Savoliuk—4970A. Derevianko—1111113
LAug 11 · 06:20V. Savoliuk—41111642A. Derevianko—117611113
WAug 10 · 15:00V. Savoliuk—761112123A. Derevianko—1111610102
WAug 7 · 10:20V. Savoliuk—1111113A. Derevianko—9790
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.50711116113V. Savoliuk1.5011961162WSep 7 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy2.758750V. Savoliuk1.401111113LSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750
A. Derevianko10
WSep 8 · 10:20A. Derevianko1.6111312113M. Mrykh2.208111041WSep 8 · 08:50A. Derevianko1.401111113O. Zhyrnov2.754650LSep 8 · 07:20A. Derevianko2.00117111172O. Strutinskiy1.73131159113WSep 8 · 05:50A. Derevianko2.25513116113I. Nitchenko1.57111141182WSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.50711116113V. Savoliuk1.5011961162LSep 7 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.105101113143A. Derevianko1.671112611122WSep 7 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310890WSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113LSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.67711116102M. Mrykh2.10118511123WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152
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