TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089362
Played Sep 7Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119116611116
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 62.9%
89 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 19–29 Volodymyr Savoliuk Andrii Derevianko has won 19 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:10What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Savoliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-29 in 48
Savoliuk
Wrong
gap of 10 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1724 vs Savoliuk 1721
Derevianko
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 60% vs Savoliuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 70% vs Savoliuk 40%
Derevianko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko -1 · Savoliuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Derevianko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 2.50 / Savoliuk 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Savoliuk)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089362
Derevianko2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 130 of 324
Down 0–1, comes back23% 44 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 100
Savoliuk1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 122 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it86% 87 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko4wins
AwaySavoliuk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko66.7%4 of 6
AwaySavoliuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko6Savoliuk4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S2Derevianko4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S3Derevianko5Savoliuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Derevianko1Savoliuk6n = 7Savoliuk took 6 of 7
S5Derevianko2Savoliuk1n = 3Derevianko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoSavoliukD − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.538.7−0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 974 vs 292 / 51247.5%57%463 / 974 vs 292 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukDerevianko 2.50/Savoliuk 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 06:50A. Derevianko—6914101V. Savoliuk—111112123
WAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko—1112113V. Savoliuk—81060
LAug 28 · 11:50A. Derevianko—1011971V. Savoliuk—12911113
LAug 25 · 08:20A. Derevianko—1391131V. Savoliuk—15115113
LAug 24 · 14:30A. Derevianko—1112861V. Savoliuk—81411113
WAug 15 · 06:50A. Derevianko—115116173V. Savoliuk—611811152
WAug 14 · 18:00A. Derevianko—1111113V. Savoliuk—4970
WAug 11 · 06:20A. Derevianko—117611113V. Savoliuk—41111642
LAug 10 · 15:00A. Derevianko—1111610102V. Savoliuk—761112123
LAug 7 · 10:20A. Derevianko—9790V. Savoliuk—1111113
A. Derevianko10
LSep 7 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.105101113143A. Derevianko1.671112611122WSep 7 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310890WSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113LSep 7 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.67711116102M. Mrykh2.10118511123WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 7 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy2.758750V. Savoliuk1.401111113LSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111
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