TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088715
Played Sep 7Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111181156111012
Maksym Mrykh
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeAndrii Derevianko to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Maksym Mrykh below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 92 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Andrii Derevianko at 57.4%
92 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 89–39 Maksym Mrykh Maksym Mrykh has won 39 of their 128 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Derevianko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
89-39 in 128
Derevianko
Wrong
gap of 50 in 128, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1723 vs Mrykh 1703
Derevianko
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 100% vs Mrykh 60%
Derevianko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 70% vs Mrykh 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko +5 · Mrykh +1
Derevianko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Derevianko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrykh form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 1.67 / Mrykh 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Derevianko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088715
Derevianko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 79 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it85% 52 of 61
Mrykh2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog44% won 29 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko6wins
AwayMrykh4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDerevianko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko100%4 of 4
AwayMrykh66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko4Mrykh6n = 10Mrykh took 6 of 10
S2Derevianko6Mrykh4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S3Derevianko5Mrykh5n = 10split evenly
S4Derevianko6Mrykh0n = 6Derevianko took 6 of 6
S5Derevianko1Mrykh2n = 3Mrykh took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoMrykhD − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.733.0+4.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoMrykhBasisWin rate · lifetime461 / 970 vs 219 / 48247.5%45.4%461 / 970 vs 219 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoDerevianko 1.67/Mrykh 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mrykh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 09:50A. Derevianko—810111182M. Mrykh—111239113
WAug 18 · 11:50A. Derevianko—11812113M. Mrykh—6111061
LAug 15 · 10:20A. Derevianko—7770M. Mrykh—1111113
LAug 6 · 16:00A. Derevianko—101181192M. Mrykh—129118113
WAug 1 · 07:50A. Derevianko—11114113M. Mrykh—851161
WJul 28 · 11:08A. Derevianko—1111113M. Mrykh—1150
WJul 28 · 09:20A. Derevianko—61111173M. Mrykh—1137151
LJul 27 · 12:00A. Derevianko—9660M. Mrykh—1111113
WDec 8 · 13:10A. Derevianko—711811113M. Mrykh—11611862
WDec 3 · 07:20A. Derevianko—1111113M. Mrykh—8650
A. Derevianko10
WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113WSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991LSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113
M. Mrykh10
WSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113WSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271WSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132LSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 21 · 11:50M. Deineha1.5791180M. Mrykh2.251113113WAug 21 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3811411113O. Strutinskiy1.53711671WAug 21 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.25111239113A. Derevianko1.57810111182WAug 21 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.671111113E. Hrytsenko2.109860WAug 21 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.50119711213I. Nitchenko2.50711115192
Upcoming Matches
A. Derevianko
M. Mrykh
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.