TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055405
Played Sep 1Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191196111012911
Anatolii Nazarov
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nazarov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Anatolii Nazarov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Anatolii Nazarov at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 8–8 Anatolii Nazarov Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:46What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Nazarov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1703 vs Nazarov 1660
Mrykh
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 100% vs Nazarov 60%
Mrykh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 60% vs Nazarov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh +5 · Nazarov +2
Mrykh
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nazarov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrykh form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 2.00 / Nazarov 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nazarov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13055405
Mrykh2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 29 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Nazarov1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 55 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrykh6wins
AwayNazarov4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrykh83.3%5 of 6
AwayNazarov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh6Nazarov4n = 10Mrykh took 6 of 10
S2Mrykh5Nazarov5n = 10split evenly
S3Mrykh4Nazarov6n = 10Nazarov took 6 of 10
S4Mrykh4Nazarov3n = 7Mrykh took 4 of 7
S5Mrykh3Nazarov2n = 5Mrykh took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrykhNazarovM − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.139.5−0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhNazarovBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 482 vs 359 / 65545.4%54.8%219 / 482 vs 359 / 655Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NazarovMrykh 2.00/Nazarov 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nazarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nazarov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh—111161092A. Nazarov—991112113
WAug 1 · 11:20M. Mrykh—133115113A. Nazarov—111191142
WJul 27 · 16:30M. Mrykh—1171012113A. Nazarov—411121052
WMar 6 · 09:00M. Mrykh—111113113A. Nazarov—981561
WFeb 27 · 15:50M. Mrykh—711511113A. Nazarov—11411852
LFeb 20 · 15:40M. Mrykh—211118132A. Nazarov—119911153
WFeb 18 · 09:50M. Mrykh—1111123A. Nazarov—67100
LFeb 17 · 21:50M. Mrykh—69100A. Nazarov—1111123
LFeb 16 · 18:10M. Mrykh—10660A. Nazarov—1211113
WFeb 7 · 11:05M. Mrykh—11011113A. Nazarov—811671
M. Mrykh10
WSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113WSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271WSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132WAug 21 · 11:50M. Deineha1.5791180M. Mrykh2.251113113WAug 21 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3811411113O. Strutinskiy1.53711671WAug 21 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.25111239113A. Derevianko1.57810111182WAug 21 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.671111113E. Hrytsenko2.109860WAug 21 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.50119711213I. Nitchenko2.50711115192LAug 20 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.1033100O. Strutinskiy1.671111123
A. Nazarov10
LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861LSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov2.1011121111102O. Strutinskiy1.679101313123LSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711114113A. Nazarov2.10431141WAug 3 · 18:30A. Nazarov1.73159118113A. Derevianko2.00131131132WAug 3 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.634940A. Nazarov1.441111113LAug 3 · 15:30A. Nazarov2.007590O. Strutinskiy1.731111113LAug 3 · 14:30Y. Riadynskyi1.6111118113A. Nazarov2.20561181WAug 3 · 13:00A. Nazarov2.751111113A. Lievshin1.407420LAug 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.8361112113A. Nazarov1.831191091
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