TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12462187
Played Aug 20Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3113111012––––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 50 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 58.7%
50 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 11–12 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Maksym Mrykh has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:31What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-12 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1641 vs Strutinskiy 1595
Mrykh
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 20% vs Strutinskiy 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 30% vs Strutinskiy 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh -2 · Strutinskiy -4
Strutinskiy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strutinskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 2.10 / Strutinskiy 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strutinskiy)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12462187
Mrykh2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 24 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Strutinskiy1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 148 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it90% 81 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it77% 108 of 140
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrykh6wins
AwayStrutinskiy4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrykh100%4 of 4
AwayStrutinskiy66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S2Mrykh6Strutinskiy4n = 10Mrykh took 6 of 10
S3Mrykh5Strutinskiy5n = 10split evenly
S4Mrykh3Strutinskiy1n = 4Mrykh took 3 of 4
S5Mrykh2Strutinskiy1n = 3Mrykh took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrykhStrutinskiyM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.534.50.0per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 505 vs 392 / 76944.4%51%224 / 505 vs 392 / 769Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyMrykh 2.10/Strutinskiy 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 09:50M. Mrykh—5880O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WAug 15 · 07:20M. Mrykh—1013611113O. Strutinskiy—121111442
LAug 6 · 17:44M. Mrykh—3570O. Strutinskiy—1111113
LAug 6 · 12:00M. Mrykh—91130O. Strutinskiy—1113113
WAug 26 · 20:20M. Mrykh—1113113O. Strutinskiy—91120
WAug 25 · 14:40M. Mrykh—1111113O. Strutinskiy—8980
WAug 20 · 08:50M. Mrykh—111011113O. Strutinskiy—712471
LAug 13 · 06:20M. Mrykh—41112962O. Strutinskiy—1191011113
WAug 11 · 13:40M. Mrykh—1111113O. Strutinskiy—8990
WAug 6 · 10:50M. Mrykh—1111411123O. Strutinskiy—137116102
M. Mrykh10
WSep 1 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.83911981M. Mrykh1.8311911113LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.201131191A. Derevianko1.6171113113WSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271WSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132LSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 21 · 11:50M. Deineha1.5791180M. Mrykh2.251113113WAug 21 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3811411113O. Strutinskiy1.53711671WAug 21 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.25111239113A. Derevianko1.57810111182WAug 21 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.671111113E. Hrytsenko2.109860WAug 21 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.50119711213I. Nitchenko2.50711115192
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172LSep 1 · 09:50M. Mrykh2.20111410113O. Strutinskiy1.616121271LAug 21 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3811411113O. Strutinskiy1.53711671
Upcoming Matches
M. Mrykh
O. Strutinskiy
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.