TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055104
Played Sep 1Finished
Anatolii Nazarov
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191210111311131012
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingAnatolii Nazarov above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 112 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 57.0%
112 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nazarov 45–79 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Anatolii Nazarov has won 45 of their 124 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-79 in 124
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 34 in 124, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nazarov 1681 vs Strutinskiy 1744
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nazarov 60% vs Strutinskiy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nazarov 40% vs Strutinskiy 70%
Strutinskiy
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nazarov -2 · Strutinskiy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Strutinskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nazarov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNazarov 2.10 / Strutinskiy 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055104
Nazarov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 47 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Strutinskiy1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 152 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it88% 83 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it75% 111 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNazarov3wins
AwayStrutinskiy7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNazarov66.7%2 of 3
AwayStrutinskiy85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nazarov3Strutinskiy7n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S2Nazarov4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S3Nazarov5Strutinskiy5n = 10split evenly
S4Nazarov4Strutinskiy3n = 7Nazarov took 4 of 7
S5Nazarov1Strutinskiy3n = 4Strutinskiy took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNazarovStrutinskiyN − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.5−1.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNazarovStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime360 / 663 vs 402 / 78454.3%51.3%360 / 663 vs 402 / 784Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyNazarov 2.10/Strutinskiy 1.67
Hit
What we said
56.2%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 15:30A. Nazarov—7590O. Strutinskiy—1111113
LJul 23 · 18:30A. Nazarov—971181O. Strutinskiy—11117113
WJul 17 · 19:00A. Nazarov—1111113O. Strutinskiy—6290
LJul 13 · 15:30A. Nazarov—101114972O. Strutinskiy—1291211113
LJul 9 · 14:30A. Nazarov—121181172O. Strutinskiy—148112113
LJul 6 · 18:30A. Nazarov—81251362O. Strutinskiy—11101111113
WJun 29 · 18:30A. Nazarov—111015113O. Strutinskiy—6121361
LJun 25 · 20:50A. Nazarov—1168111O. Strutinskiy—91111133
LJun 22 · 21:20A. Nazarov—2790O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WJun 15 · 17:50A. Nazarov—981111113O. Strutinskiy—11113382
A. Nazarov10
LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861LSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711114113A. Nazarov2.10431141WSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 3 · 18:30A. Nazarov1.73159118113A. Derevianko2.00131131132WAug 3 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.634940A. Nazarov1.441111113LAug 3 · 15:30A. Nazarov2.007590O. Strutinskiy1.731111113LAug 3 · 14:30Y. Riadynskyi1.6111118113A. Nazarov2.20561181WAug 3 · 13:00A. Nazarov2.751111113A. Lievshin1.407420LAug 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.8361112113A. Nazarov1.831191091
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172LSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WAug 3 · 15:30A. Nazarov2.007590O. Strutinskiy1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.