TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12352395
Played Aug 3Finished
Anatolii Nazarov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511911––––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Nazarov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAnatolii Nazarov above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Anatolii Nazarov at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nazarov 46–77 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Anatolii Nazarov has won 46 of their 123 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:31What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-77 in 123
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 31 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nazarov 1691 vs Strutinskiy 1617
Nazarov
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nazarov 40% vs Strutinskiy 80%
Strutinskiy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nazarov 50% vs Strutinskiy 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nazarov -1 · Strutinskiy +3
Strutinskiy
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nazarov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNazarov 2.00 / Strutinskiy 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nazarov)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #12352395
Nazarov2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 50 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 45
Strutinskiy1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 133 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it90% 74 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it79% 99 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNazarov4wins
AwayStrutinskiy6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNazarov66.7%2 of 3
AwayStrutinskiy71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nazarov3Strutinskiy7n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S2Nazarov6Strutinskiy4n = 10Nazarov took 6 of 10
S3Nazarov5Strutinskiy5n = 10split evenly
S4Nazarov5Strutinskiy3n = 8Nazarov took 5 of 8
S5Nazarov1Strutinskiy3n = 4Strutinskiy took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNazarovStrutinskiyN − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.338.9+1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNazarovStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 712 vs 406 / 76253.7%53.3%382 / 712 vs 406 / 762Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NazarovNazarov 2.00/Strutinskiy 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nazarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 17 · 19:00A. Nazarov—1111113O. Strutinskiy—6290
LJul 13 · 15:30A. Nazarov—101114972O. Strutinskiy—1291211113
LJul 9 · 14:30A. Nazarov—121181172O. Strutinskiy—148112113
LJul 6 · 18:30A. Nazarov—81251362O. Strutinskiy—11101111113
WJun 29 · 18:30A. Nazarov—111015113O. Strutinskiy—6121361
LJun 25 · 20:50A. Nazarov—1168111O. Strutinskiy—91111133
LJun 22 · 21:20A. Nazarov—2790O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WJun 15 · 17:50A. Nazarov—981111113O. Strutinskiy—11113382
LJun 11 · 20:50A. Nazarov—511981O. Strutinskiy—11711113
WJun 8 · 17:20A. Nazarov—91111113O. Strutinskiy—115561
A. Nazarov10
LSep 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.9115511113A. Nazarov1.801311861LSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov2.1011121111102O. Strutinskiy1.679101313123LSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711114113A. Nazarov2.10431141WSep 1 · 06:20M. Mrykh2.00111161092A. Nazarov1.73991112113WAug 3 · 18:30A. Nazarov1.73159118113A. Derevianko2.00131131132WAug 3 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.634940A. Nazarov1.441111113LAug 3 · 14:30Y. Riadynskyi1.6111118113A. Nazarov2.20561181WAug 3 · 13:00A. Nazarov2.751111113A. Lievshin1.407420LAug 1 · 12:50A. Derevianko1.8361112113A. Nazarov1.831191091
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172LSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 1 · 11:20A. Nazarov2.1011121111102O. Strutinskiy1.679101313123
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