TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067635
Played Sep 3Finished
Maksym Deineha
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811611117117116
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMaksym Deineha above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Deineha 3–4 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Maksym Deineha has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:31What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Strutinskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Deineha 1627 vs Strutinskiy 1750
Strutinskiy
Wrong
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Deineha 40% vs Strutinskiy 60%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Deineha 40% vs Strutinskiy 70%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Deineha +2 · Strutinskiy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDeineha 1.91 / Strutinskiy 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067635
Deineha1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 15 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back27% 6 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Strutinskiy1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 148 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it88% 77 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it74% 106 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDeineha3wins
AwayStrutinskiy4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDeinehan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayStrutinskiy66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Deineha1Strutinskiy6n = 7Strutinskiy took 6 of 7
S2Deineha4Strutinskiy3n = 7Deineha took 4 of 7
S3Deineha3Strutinskiy4n = 7Strutinskiy took 4 of 7
S4Deineha4Strutinskiy2n = 6Deineha took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricDeinehaStrutinskiyD − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match35.740.3−4.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDeinehaStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 60 vs 395 / 77253.3%51.2%32 / 60 vs 395 / 772Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyDeineha 1.91/Strutinskiy 1.80
Miss
What we said
54%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha—51181232O. Strutinskiy—1191110113
LAug 24 · 17:30M. Deineha—612771O. Strutinskiy—111011113
WAug 21 · 08:50M. Deineha—11714113O. Strutinskiy—7111291
WAug 20 · 15:30M. Deineha—31111113O. Strutinskiy—114781
LAug 14 · 19:00M. Deineha—3790O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WAug 10 · 15:30M. Deineha—4111111113O. Strutinskiy—11138832
LJul 11 · 05:50M. Deineha—911671O. Strutinskiy—11911113
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123LAug 24 · 19:00Y. Opryshchenko1.9171411113M. Deineha1.801112971
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.