TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067370
Played Sep 3Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
14128119111171012
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 105 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 54.5%
105 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 3–3 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1666 vs Strutinskiy 1742
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 40% vs Strutinskiy 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 30% vs Strutinskiy 70%
Strutinskiy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta +1 · Strutinskiy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 2.00 / Strutinskiy 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067370
Maksuta2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 22 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Strutinskiy1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 148 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it88% 77 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it74% 106 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMaksuta3wins
AwayStrutinskiy3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta66.7%2 of 3
AwayStrutinskiy66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta3Strutinskiy3n = 6split evenly
S2Maksuta2Strutinskiy4n = 6Strutinskiy took 4 of 6
S3Maksuta3Strutinskiy3n = 6split evenly
S4Maksuta2Strutinskiy3n = 5Strutinskiy took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricMaksutaStrutinskiyM − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.039.3−0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 273 vs 400 / 78158.6%51.2%160 / 273 vs 400 / 781Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyMaksuta 2.00/Strutinskiy 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta—13121081O. Strutinskiy—111412113
WAug 20 · 12:30V. Maksuta—61311113O. Strutinskiy—1111971
WAug 17 · 15:30V. Maksuta—11412113O. Strutinskiy—7111041
WAug 14 · 15:30V. Maksuta—1111109113O. Strutinskiy—84121192
LAug 6 · 13:30V. Maksuta—871171O. Strutinskiy—11118113
LJun 25 · 17:50V. Maksuta—9990O. Strutinskiy—1111113
V. Maksuta10
LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.331111113Y. Opryshchenko3.255750LAug 31 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.50115991V. Savoliuk1.5091111113LAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta1.6713121081O. Strutinskiy2.10111412113
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113WAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta1.6713121081O. Strutinskiy2.10111412113
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