TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049369
Played Aug 31Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012113116117––
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvhenii Hrytsenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Evhenii Hrytsenko at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 12–11 Evhenii Hrytsenko Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hrytsenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1654 vs Hrytsenko 1672
Hrytsenko
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 20% vs Hrytsenko 0%
Maksuta
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 30% vs Hrytsenko 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta -2 · Hrytsenko -5
Hrytsenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrytsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.83 / Hrytsenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hrytsenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13049369
Maksuta1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Hrytsenko1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksuta3wins
AwayHrytsenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHrytsenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta33.3%1 of 3
AwayHrytsenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta3Hrytsenko7n = 10Hrytsenko took 7 of 10
S2Maksuta2Hrytsenko8n = 10Hrytsenko took 8 of 10
S3Maksuta4Hrytsenko6n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S4Maksuta2Hrytsenko5n = 7Hrytsenko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksutaHrytsenkoM − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.438.1−5.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 272 vs 312 / 63858.5%48.9%159 / 272 vs 312 / 638Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrytsenkoMaksuta 1.83/Hrytsenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hrytsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maksuta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 16:30V. Maksuta—1110761E. Hrytsenko—91211113
LJul 30 · 17:40V. Maksuta—5690E. Hrytsenko—1111113
LJul 29 · 11:40V. Maksuta—551151E. Hrytsenko—11115113
WJul 23 · 15:40V. Maksuta—311118113E. Hrytsenko—11781152
LJul 14 · 15:10V. Maksuta—51011101E. Hrytsenko—11125123
LJul 9 · 15:40V. Maksuta—118721E. Hrytsenko—41111113
WJul 8 · 13:40V. Maksuta—8111011123E. Hrytsenko—116129102
LJun 3 · 13:10V. Maksuta—9940E. Hrytsenko—1111113
WApr 15 · 14:10V. Maksuta—13911113E. Hrytsenko—1111591
LApr 11 · 16:40V. Maksuta—51210E. Hrytsenko—111463
V. Maksuta10
LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.331111113Y. Opryshchenko3.255750LAug 31 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.50115991V. Savoliuk1.5091111113LAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta1.6713121081O. Strutinskiy2.10111412113
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113WSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113WSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991WSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842
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