TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067163
Played Sep 3Finished
Maksym Deineha
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115811116711115
Yehor Opryshchenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYehor Opryshchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMaksym Deineha above · Yehor Opryshchenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 86 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Yehor Opryshchenko at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Deineha 1–2 Yehor Opryshchenko Maksym Deineha has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:27What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Opryshchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Deineha 1659 vs Opryshchenko 1606
Deineha
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Deineha 100% vs Opryshchenko 0%
Deineha
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Deineha 60% vs Opryshchenko 20%
Deineha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Deineha +5 · Opryshchenko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Deineha) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opryshchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDeineha 1.83 / Opryshchenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Deineha)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067163
Deineha1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Opryshchenko1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDeineha1wins
AwayOpryshchenko2wins
Opryshchenko leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDeineha33.3%1 of 3
AwayOpryshchenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Deineha3Opryshchenko0n = 3Deineha took 3 of 3
S2Deineha0Opryshchenko3n = 3Opryshchenko took 3 of 3
S3Deineha1Opryshchenko2n = 3Opryshchenko took 2 of 3
S4Deineha1Opryshchenko2n = 3Opryshchenko took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricDeinehaOpryshchenkoD − OBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match38.039.3−1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDeinehaOpryshchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 63 vs 50 / 10455.6%48.1%35 / 63 vs 50 / 104Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaDeineha 1.83/Opryshchenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 24 · 19:00M. Deineha—1112971Y. Opryshchenko—71411113
WAug 14 · 14:00M. Deineha—11711113Y. Opryshchenko—811691
LJul 11 · 11:50M. Deineha—116991Y. Opryshchenko—81111113
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123LAug 24 · 19:00Y. Opryshchenko1.9171411113M. Deineha1.801112971
Y. Opryshchenko10
LSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650WSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842WAug 24 · 19:00Y. Opryshchenko1.9171411113M. Deineha1.801112971
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