TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022654
Played Aug 27Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171012119119––
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 4–1 Maksym Deineha Maksym Deineha has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:19What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Deineha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Derevianko
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1642 vs Deineha 1621
Derevianko
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 40% vs Deineha 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 30% vs Deineha 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko +1 · Deineha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Derevianko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Deineha form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 1.83 / Deineha 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Derevianko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13022654
Derevianko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Deineha1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDerevianko4wins
AwayDeineha1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderDerevianko leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko100%4 of 4
AwayDeinehan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko4Deineha1n = 5Derevianko took 4 of 5
S2Derevianko2Deineha3n = 5Deineha took 3 of 5
S3Derevianko0Deineha5n = 5Deineha took 5 of 5
S4Derevianko3Deineha1n = 4Derevianko took 3 of 4
S5Derevianko3Deineha0n = 3Derevianko took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricDereviankoDeinehaDerevianko − DeinehaBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match41.241.6−0.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime455 / 967 vs 30 / 5647.1%53.6%455 / 967 vs 30 / 56Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoDerevianko 1.83/Deineha 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 24 · 15:30A. Derevianko—3450M. Deineha—1111113
WAug 21 · 05:50A. Derevianko—111178113M. Deineha—97111172
WAug 20 · 18:30A. Derevianko—169911113M. Deineha—141111672
WAug 14 · 15:00A. Derevianko—118611113M. Deineha—61111992
WAug 10 · 16:30A. Derevianko—111110113M. Deineha—781281
A. Derevianko10
WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113WSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991LSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123LAug 24 · 19:00Y. Opryshchenko1.9171411113M. Deineha1.801112971
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