TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088682
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711511––––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:09 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Strutinskiy above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 53 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 67.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Strutinskiy 25–53 Volodymyr Savoliuk Oleksandr Strutinskiy has won 25 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:09What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-53 in 78
Savoliuk
Correct
gap of 28 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strutinskiy 1728 vs Savoliuk 1707
Strutinskiy
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strutinskiy 60% vs Savoliuk 40%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strutinskiy 60% vs Savoliuk 40%
Strutinskiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strutinskiy -1 · Savoliuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrutinskiy 2.75 / Savoliuk 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Savoliuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088682
Strutinskiy2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 63 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Savoliuk1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite69% won 122 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it86% 87 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrutinskiy4wins
AwaySavoliuk6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrutinskiy75%3 of 4
AwaySavoliuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strutinskiy4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S2Strutinskiy4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S3Strutinskiy6Savoliuk4n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S4Strutinskiy1Savoliuk5n = 6Savoliuk took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrutinskiySavoliukStrutinskiy − SavoliukBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.235.0−1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrutinskiySavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 784 vs 291 / 51151.2%57%401 / 784 vs 291 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukStrutinskiy 2.75/Savoliuk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 12:20O. Strutinskiy—11711111V. Savoliuk—61113133
WAug 31 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy—1411113V. Savoliuk—12640
LAug 28 · 05:50O. Strutinskiy—1011481V. Savoliuk—12911113
WAug 25 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy—91111113V. Savoliuk—119431
LAug 24 · 16:00O. Strutinskiy—59100V. Savoliuk—1111123
LAug 15 · 12:50O. Strutinskiy—8480V. Savoliuk—1111113
LAug 14 · 12:30O. Strutinskiy—971231V. Savoliuk—111110113
WAug 11 · 11:20O. Strutinskiy—1111113V. Savoliuk—5950
LAug 10 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy—581141V. Savoliuk—11118113
WAug 7 · 05:50O. Strutinskiy—1121110113V. Savoliuk—51191282
O. Strutinskiy10
LSep 7 · 19:00M. Mrykh2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310430LSep 7 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.001211113O. Strutinskiy1.7310890WSep 7 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko2.63111080O. Strutinskiy1.441312113WSep 7 · 12:30V. Maksuta2.00117761O. Strutinskiy1.7361111113WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 7 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.50711116113V. Savoliuk1.5011961162LSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111
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