TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088897
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116711711611––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 54.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 3–5 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Volodymir Maksuta has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:59What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1633 vs Strutinskiy 1713
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 20% vs Strutinskiy 40%
Strutinskiy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 30% vs Strutinskiy 50%
Strutinskiy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta -3 · Strutinskiy +1
Maksuta
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strutinskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 2.00 / Strutinskiy 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13088897
Maksuta2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 22 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Strutinskiy1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 152 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it87% 77 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it74% 109 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMaksuta3wins
AwayStrutinskiy5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta50%2 of 4
AwayStrutinskiy75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta4Strutinskiy4n = 8split evenly
S2Maksuta2Strutinskiy6n = 8Strutinskiy took 6 of 8
S3Maksuta3Strutinskiy5n = 8Strutinskiy took 5 of 8
S4Maksuta3Strutinskiy3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricMaksutaStrutinskiyM − SBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.040.2−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 278 vs 399 / 78157.9%51.1%161 / 278 vs 399 / 781Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyMaksuta 2.00/Strutinskiy 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta—148911102O. Strutinskiy—1211117123
LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta—7470O. Strutinskiy—1111113
LAug 27 · 18:30V. Maksuta—13121081O. Strutinskiy—111412113
WAug 20 · 12:30V. Maksuta—61311113O. Strutinskiy—1111971
WAug 17 · 15:30V. Maksuta—11412113O. Strutinskiy—7111041
WAug 14 · 15:30V. Maksuta—1111109113O. Strutinskiy—84121192
LAug 6 · 13:30V. Maksuta—871171O. Strutinskiy—11118113
LJun 25 · 17:50V. Maksuta—9990O. Strutinskiy—1111113
V. Maksuta10
LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113WAug 31 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.331111113Y. Opryshchenko3.255750LAug 31 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.50115991V. Savoliuk1.5091111113
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 7 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko2.63111080O. Strutinskiy1.441312113WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113WSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113
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