TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088945
Played Sep 7Finished
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131012811––––
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Oleksandr Strutinskiy below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 65 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 66.1%
65 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 8–27 Oleksandr Strutinskiy Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 8 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-27 in 35
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 19 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1674 vs Strutinskiy 1731
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 20% vs Strutinskiy 60%
Strutinskiy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 50% vs Strutinskiy 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko -1 · Strutinskiy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Strutinskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 2.63 / Strutinskiy 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088945
Hrytsenko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 84 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back30% 28 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back15% 8 of 54
Strutinskiy1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 152 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it87% 77 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it74% 109 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko5wins
AwayStrutinskiy5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayStrutinskiy42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko3Strutinskiy7n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S2Hrytsenko4Strutinskiy6n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S3Hrytsenko7Strutinskiy3n = 10Hrytsenko took 7 of 10
S4Hrytsenko5Strutinskiy4n = 9Hrytsenko took 5 of 9
S5Hrytsenko3Strutinskiy3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoStrutinskiyH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.241.1−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoStrutinskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 645 vs 400 / 78249.3%51.2%318 / 645 vs 400 / 782Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyHrytsenko 2.63/Strutinskiy 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—91191152O. Strutinskiy—118115113
WSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko—411147113O. Strutinskiy—116121172
LAug 31 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko—33111112O. Strutinskiy—111169113
LAug 28 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—1110111262O. Strutinskiy—412314113
LAug 25 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—1410551O. Strutinskiy—121211113
WAug 24 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko—491112113O. Strutinskiy—111181072
LAug 21 · 06:50E. Hrytsenko—9720O. Strutinskiy—1111113
WAug 18 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—11911113O. Strutinskiy—711551
WAug 17 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko—311115113O. Strutinskiy—11971162
WAug 11 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—61111113O. Strutinskiy—116921
E. Hrytsenko10
LSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131LSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481LSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171LSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113WSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113WSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172WSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991
O. Strutinskiy10
WSep 7 · 12:30V. Maksuta2.00117761O. Strutinskiy1.7361111113WSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.101111113O. Strutinskiy1.676580LSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko2.6391191152O. Strutinskiy1.44118115113LSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481WSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 16:00E. Hrytsenko2.75411147113O. Strutinskiy1.40116121172LSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762
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