TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089143
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11412101210––––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 67.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 0–2 Volodymyr Savoliuk Volodymir Maksuta has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Savoliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1606 vs Savoliuk 1725
Savoliuk
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 0% vs Savoliuk 40%
Savoliuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 20% vs Savoliuk 50%
Savoliuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta -5 · Savoliuk -1
Maksuta
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 2.63 / Savoliuk 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Savoliuk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089143
Maksuta2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 22 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Savoliuk1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 122 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it92% 61 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it86% 87 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMaksuta0wins
AwaySavoliuk2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMaksutaSavoliukM − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.044.5−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 280 vs 291 / 51057.5%57.1%161 / 280 vs 291 / 510Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukMaksuta 2.63/Savoliuk 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maksuta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 31 · 12:00V. Maksuta—115991V. Savoliuk—91111113
LAug 14 · 14:30V. Maksuta—11951162V. Savoliuk—711117113
V. Maksuta10
LSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113LSep 7 · 12:30V. Maksuta2.00117761O. Strutinskiy1.7361111113LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:00V. Maksuta2.00148911102O. Strutinskiy1.731211117123WAug 31 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.83101111113E. Hrytsenko1.83123671LAug 31 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.00114118102A. Derevianko1.73811811123LAug 31 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.807470O. Strutinskiy1.911111113
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 7 · 14:00M. Mrykh2.005131011133V. Savoliuk1.731111127112WSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111WSep 1 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko2.0014911652V. Savoliuk1.731211811113WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940
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