TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055723
Played Sep 1Finished
Yehor Opryshchenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1412911118611511
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingYehor Opryshchenko above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 98 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 58.6%
98 points played in total.
H2H Yehor Opryshchenko 3–3 Volodymyr Savoliuk Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:55What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opryshchenko 1668 vs Savoliuk 1761
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opryshchenko 60% vs Savoliuk 40%
Opryshchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opryshchenko 70% vs Savoliuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Opryshchenko -1 · Savoliuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Savoliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpryshchenko 2.00 / Savoliuk 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Savoliuk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055723
Opryshchenko2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 12 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Savoliuk1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 128 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it87% 93 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeOpryshchenko3wins
AwaySavoliuk3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpryshchenko60%3 of 5
AwaySavoliukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opryshchenko5Savoliuk1n = 6Opryshchenko took 5 of 6
S2Opryshchenko1Savoliuk5n = 6Savoliuk took 5 of 6
S3Opryshchenko3Savoliuk3n = 6split evenly
S4Opryshchenko3Savoliuk1n = 4Opryshchenko took 3 of 4
S5Opryshchenko1Savoliuk2n = 3Savoliuk took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricOpryshchenkoSavoliukO − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match43.040.5+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpryshchenkoSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 98 vs 287 / 50151%57.3%50 / 98 vs 287 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukOpryshchenko 2.00/Savoliuk 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.5%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 31 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko—1231212113V. Savoliuk—1011101452
WAug 25 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko—111020113V. Savoliuk—4121831
LAug 24 · 17:00Y. Opryshchenko—71380V. Savoliuk—1115113
WAug 15 · 07:50Y. Opryshchenko—1113113V. Savoliuk—21150
LAug 14 · 16:00Y. Opryshchenko—121051182V. Savoliuk—1012117113
LJul 18 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko—12781192V. Savoliuk—1011117113
Y. Opryshchenko10
LSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650WSep 4 · 08:50Y. Opryshchenko1.9111119113E. Hrytsenko1.80571171WSep 4 · 07:20Y. Opryshchenko1.6711614113I. Nitchenko2.102111261WSep 4 · 05:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8391111113O. Strutinskiy1.83113481LSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152LSep 3 · 17:30Y. Opryshchenko1.80104111192O. Strutinskiy1.91121198113LSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110LSep 3 · 12:30E. Hrytsenko1.83119611113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351111842
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk1.53111112123A. Derevianko2.386914101LAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.501112113V. Savoliuk1.5081060
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