TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073605
Played Sep 4Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811119116––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 7–5 Anatolii Lievshin Anatolii Lievshin has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Savoliuk
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1714 vs Lievshin 1719
Lievshin
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 20% vs Lievshin 80%
Lievshin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 40% vs Lievshin 80%
Lievshin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk -4 · Lievshin +1
Savoliuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Lievshin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 2.25 / Lievshin 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Lievshin)-2.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13073605
Savoliuk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 12 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Lievshin1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 111 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it82% 88 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSavoliuk6wins
AwayLievshin4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliuk80%4 of 5
AwayLievshin60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk5Lievshin5n = 10split evenly
S2Savoliuk4Lievshin6n = 10Lievshin took 6 of 10
S3Savoliuk7Lievshin3n = 10Savoliuk took 7 of 10
S4Savoliuk4Lievshin5n = 9Lievshin took 5 of 9
S5Savoliuk3Lievshin1n = 4Savoliuk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSavoliukLievshinS − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.241.6−0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime289 / 507 vs 167 / 29657%56.4%289 / 507 vs 167 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukSavoliuk 2.25/Lievshin 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.3%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 21 · 09:20V. Savoliuk—1091171A. Lievshin—12119113
LJul 20 · 19:00V. Savoliuk—9111171A. Lievshin—11513113
LJul 18 · 07:20V. Savoliuk—541171A. Lievshin—11119113
WJul 17 · 12:00V. Savoliuk—115117113A. Lievshin—81171192
WJul 14 · 08:20V. Savoliuk—11912123A. Lievshin—81110101
WJul 13 · 12:00V. Savoliuk—61111133A. Lievshin—1174111
WJun 30 · 08:50V. Savoliuk—139911113A. Lievshin—111111882
LJun 19 · 07:50V. Savoliuk—11571152A. Lievshin—311119113
WJun 16 · 10:50V. Savoliuk—1411113A. Lievshin—12970
WJun 12 · 10:50V. Savoliuk—813119113A. Lievshin—111191192
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111WSep 1 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko2.0014911652V. Savoliuk1.731211811113WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk1.53111112123A. Derevianko2.386914101LAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.501112113V. Savoliuk1.5081060
A. Lievshin10
WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113WSep 2 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra1.73811561A. Lievshin2.0011511113LSep 2 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.671211711123A. Lievshin2.101013118102WSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113
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