TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049301
Played Aug 31Finished
Andrii Derevianko
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210116––––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Derevianko above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 58 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 65.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Derevianko 18–26 Volodymyr Savoliuk Andrii Derevianko has won 18 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Savoliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-26 in 44
Savoliuk
Wrong
gap of 8 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevianko 1651 vs Savoliuk 1772
Savoliuk
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevianko 40% vs Savoliuk 60%
Savoliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevianko 50% vs Savoliuk 70%
Savoliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevianko +1 · Savoliuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Savoliuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevianko 2.50 / Savoliuk 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Savoliuk)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13049301
Derevianko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 126 of 320
Down 0–1, comes back23% 42 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back11% 11 of 101
Savoliuk1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 126 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it87% 92 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevianko5wins
AwaySavoliuk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevianko66.7%4 of 6
AwaySavoliuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevianko6Savoliuk4n = 10Derevianko took 6 of 10
S2Derevianko3Savoliuk7n = 10Savoliuk took 7 of 10
S3Derevianko4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S4Derevianko3Savoliuk4n = 7Savoliuk took 4 of 7
S5Derevianko3Savoliuk1n = 4Derevianko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDereviankoSavoliukD − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.539.0−0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDereviankoSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 974 vs 285 / 49747.2%57.3%460 / 974 vs 285 / 497Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukDerevianko 2.50/Savoliuk 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 14:30A. Derevianko—1112861V. Savoliuk—81411113
WAug 15 · 06:50A. Derevianko—115116173V. Savoliuk—611811152
WAug 14 · 18:00A. Derevianko—1111113V. Savoliuk—4970
WAug 11 · 06:20A. Derevianko—117611113V. Savoliuk—41111642
LAug 10 · 15:00A. Derevianko—1111610102V. Savoliuk—761112123
LAug 7 · 10:20A. Derevianko—9790V. Savoliuk—1111113
LJul 21 · 06:20A. Derevianko—5930V. Savoliuk—1111113
LJul 20 · 17:00A. Derevianko—91310111V. Savoliuk—111112133
WJul 18 · 08:50A. Derevianko—11711113V. Savoliuk—811791
WJul 14 · 11:50A. Derevianko—761111113V. Savoliuk—11117862
A. Derevianko10
WSep 4 · 11:50Y. Opryshchenko1.8312821A. Derevianko1.83101152WSep 4 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.8071111113E. Hrytsenko1.91116481WSep 4 · 09:50A. Derevianko2.001111113O. Strutinskiy1.734620WSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492WSep 4 · 06:20A. Derevianko2.6351312123I. Nitchenko1.44111110101LSep 3 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.91811591O. Strutinskiy1.8011611113WSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113WSep 3 · 15:30A. Derevianko1.911111113Y. Opryshchenko1.803550LSep 3 · 14:30E. Hrytsenko2.1012211113A. Derevianko1.671011991LSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111WSep 1 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko2.0014911652V. Savoliuk1.731211811113WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk1.53111112123A. Derevianko2.386914101
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