TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073054
Played Sep 4Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117115511117––
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Volodymyr Savoliuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 5–5 Volodymyr Savoliuk Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Voronenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1667 vs Savoliuk 1747
Savoliuk
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 20% vs Savoliuk 60%
Savoliuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 60% vs Savoliuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -4 · Savoliuk -2
Voronenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Voronenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Savoliuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 1.61 / Savoliuk 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Voronenko)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13073054
Voronenko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 31 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Savoliuk2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 12 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko5wins
AwaySavoliuk5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko100%4 of 4
AwaySavoliuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko4Savoliuk6n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S2Voronenko7Savoliuk3n = 10Voronenko took 7 of 10
S3Voronenko7Savoliuk3n = 10Voronenko took 7 of 10
S4Voronenko4Savoliuk4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoSavoliukV − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.135.9+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoSavoliukBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 529 vs 289 / 50545.4%57.2%240 / 529 vs 289 / 505Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoronenkoVoronenko 1.61/Savoliuk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Voronenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Voronenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 22 · 15:10V. Voronenko—81310101V. Savoliuk—111112123
LMar 11 · 06:50V. Voronenko—81381292V. Savoliuk—11111110113
WFeb 2 · 11:40V. Voronenko—11911113V. Savoliuk—811331
LJan 26 · 14:40V. Voronenko—71111962V. Savoliuk—119711103
LJan 19 · 11:40V. Voronenko—891161V. Savoliuk—11118113
WJan 12 · 11:40V. Voronenko—1111113V. Savoliuk—6350
WDec 19 · 11:40V. Voronenko—1111113V. Savoliuk—8890
WDec 15 · 11:40V. Voronenko—11411113V. Savoliuk—811761
WNov 19 · 06:50V. Voronenko—71111113V. Savoliuk—116791
LSep 8 · 15:10V. Voronenko—7118111V. Savoliuk—11611133
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091WAug 31 · 10:40V. Voronenko1.731711113P. Plakushchyi2.0015940WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
V. Savoliuk10
WSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961LSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060LSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113LSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750WSep 1 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4061113133O. Strutinskiy2.7511711111WSep 1 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko2.0014911652V. Savoliuk1.731211811113WSep 1 · 09:20V. Savoliuk1.611111113A. Nazarov2.202940LSep 1 · 08:20M. Mrykh1.83511117113V. Savoliuk1.8311961132WSep 1 · 06:50V. Savoliuk1.53111112123A. Derevianko2.386914101LAug 31 · 18:30A. Derevianko2.501112113V. Savoliuk1.5081060
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