TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049280
Played Aug 31Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111171210119––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 55.4%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 5–3 Anatolii Lievshin Anatolii Lievshin has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:24What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Voronenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1696 vs Lievshin 1656
Voronenko
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 100% vs Lievshin 40%
Voronenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 70% vs Lievshin 30%
Voronenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko +5 · Lievshin +1
Voronenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.10 / Lievshin 1.67
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Lievshin)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13049280
Voronenko2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 65 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Lievshin1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 106 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it81% 83 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVoronenko5wins
AwayLievshin3wins
1 of 8 to a deciderVoronenko leads 5–3, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko100%4 of 4
AwayLievshin75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko4Lievshin4n = 8split evenly
S2Voronenko5Lievshin3n = 8Voronenko took 5 of 8
S3Voronenko4Lievshin4n = 8split evenly
S4Voronenko5Lievshin2n = 7Voronenko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home563%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricVoronenkoLievshinV − LBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match36.235.8+0.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 529 vs 157 / 27945.9%56.3%243 / 529 vs 157 / 279Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinVoronenko 2.10/Lievshin 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Voronenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko—41112113A. Lievshin—1171091
WAug 28 · 12:10V. Voronenko—11113113A. Lievshin—961181
LAug 24 · 13:40V. Voronenko—861151A. Lievshin—11113113
WAug 21 · 13:40V. Voronenko—11115123A. Lievshin—7611101
WAug 17 · 13:40V. Voronenko—13611113A. Lievshin—1111481
LAug 14 · 11:10V. Voronenko—711134112A. Lievshin—1141111133
LAug 7 · 13:40V. Voronenko—12740A. Lievshin—1411113
WMay 4 · 16:39V. Voronenko—11114113A. Lievshin—521171
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670WAug 31 · 10:40V. Voronenko1.731711113P. Plakushchyi2.0015940WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
A. Lievshin10
LSep 4 · 17:40V. Savoliuk2.2511811113A. Lievshin1.57811961WSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113WSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123WSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:20O. Seliuchenko1.801111411A. Lievshin1.9113811113WSep 2 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra1.73811561A. Lievshin2.0011511113LSep 2 · 06:20V. Marushchak1.671211711123A. Lievshin2.101013118102
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