TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073450
Played Sep 4Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119411411––
Vitalii S Marushchak
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeVitalii S Marushchak to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Vitalii S Marushchak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 69 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Vitalii S Marushchak at 59.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 30–46 Vitalii S Marushchak Vladimir Voronenko has won 30 of their 76 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Marushchak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-46 in 76
Marushchak
Correct
gap of 16 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1645 vs Marushchak 1716
Marushchak
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 20% vs Marushchak 60%
Marushchak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 60% vs Marushchak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko +1 · Marushchak +3
Marushchak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Marushchak) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voronenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.25 / Marushchak 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Marushchak)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073450
Voronenko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 65 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Marushchak1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 71 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it100% 40 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko5wins
AwayMarushchak5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMarushchak50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko2Marushchak8n = 10Marushchak took 8 of 10
S2Voronenko6Marushchak4n = 10Voronenko took 6 of 10
S3Voronenko5Marushchak5n = 10split evenly
S4Voronenko3Marushchak5n = 8Marushchak took 5 of 8
S5Voronenko4Marushchak2n = 6Voronenko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoMarushchakV − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.942.6−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoMarushchakBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 532 vs 301 / 63245.3%47.6%241 / 532 vs 301 / 632Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarushchakVoronenko 2.25/Marushchak 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Marushchak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Marushchak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko—811441V. Marushchak—11911113
LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko—13411512V. Marushchak—1111411113
WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko—518711113V. Marushchak—111611852
LAug 24 · 15:10V. Voronenko—3550V. Marushchak—1111113
LAug 21 · 16:40V. Voronenko—91111482V. Marushchak—116611113
WAug 17 · 15:10V. Voronenko—51111113V. Marushchak—118591
LAug 10 · 13:10V. Voronenko—11960V. Marushchak—1311113
WAug 7 · 15:10V. Voronenko—1210811113V. Marushchak—101211792
WAug 3 · 12:10V. Voronenko—911113113V. Marushchak—11581182
WJul 24 · 13:40V. Voronenko—611129113V. Marushchak—119101162
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091WAug 31 · 10:40V. Voronenko1.731711113P. Plakushchyi2.0015940WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
V. Marushchak10
LSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113WSep 4 · 14:10V. Marushchak1.7311118113A. Lievshin2.00821161WSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133WSep 4 · 11:40V. Marushchak1.571111113V. Savoliuk2.259750LSep 2 · 11:50Y. Shmyndra2.2511119113V. Marushchak1.57581191LSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 08:20V. Marushchak2.001111811113O. Seliuchenko1.7313911682WAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113LAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
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