TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049648
Played Aug 31Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811119611––
Andrii Hrabskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:04 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Hrabskyi to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Andrii Hrabskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 58.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 20–23 Andrii Hrabskyi Vladimir Voronenko has won 20 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:04What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hrabskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-23 in 43
Hrabskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1708 vs Hrabskyi 1641
Voronenko
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 80% vs Hrabskyi 20%
Voronenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 80% vs Hrabskyi 40%
Voronenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -1 · Hrabskyi -4
Hrabskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hrabskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 2.25 / Hrabskyi 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hrabskyi)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13049648
Voronenko2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog37% won 65 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Hrabskyi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 60 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it73% 46 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko3wins
AwayHrabskyi7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHrabskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko50%2 of 4
AwayHrabskyi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S2Voronenko4Hrabskyi6n = 10Hrabskyi took 6 of 10
S3Voronenko2Hrabskyi8n = 10Hrabskyi took 8 of 10
S4Voronenko3Hrabskyi3n = 6split evenly
S5Voronenko1Hrabskyi2n = 3Hrabskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoHrabskyiV − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.038.9−2.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoHrabskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 531 vs 213 / 48546%43.9%244 / 531 vs 213 / 485Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabskyiVoronenko 2.25/Hrabskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 10:40V. Voronenko—9870A. Hrabskyi—1111113
WAug 21 · 10:40V. Voronenko—111275113A. Hrabskyi—710111142
LAug 17 · 10:40V. Voronenko—11114572A. Hrabskyi—581111113
WAug 14 · 16:40V. Voronenko—111112123A. Hrabskyi—4414101
LAug 10 · 14:40V. Voronenko—8780A. Hrabskyi—1111113
LAug 7 · 10:40V. Voronenko—118981A. Hrabskyi—71111113
LAug 3 · 10:40V. Voronenko—78100A. Hrabskyi—1111123
LJul 27 · 10:40V. Voronenko—961611112A. Hrabskyi—1111149133
WJul 24 · 10:40V. Voronenko—71312113A. Hrabskyi—11111041
LJul 13 · 16:08V. Voronenko—71090A. Hrabskyi—1112113
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091WAug 31 · 10:40V. Voronenko1.731711113P. Plakushchyi2.0015940WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra1.809111211113A. Hrabskyi1.91114101392LSep 1 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.911071241V. Marushchak1.80121110113LSep 1 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.839101161Y. Shmyndra1.8311127113
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