TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055086
Played Sep 1Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111012117611––
Yurii Shmyndra
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Hrabskyi to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Yurii Shmyndra below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 77 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Andrii Hrabskyi at 54.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 3–6 Yurii Shmyndra Andrii Hrabskyi has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:55What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Shmyndra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Shmyndra
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1643 vs Shmyndra 1596
Hrabskyi
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 40% vs Shmyndra 80%
Shmyndra
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 40% vs Shmyndra 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi +1 · Shmyndra +3
Shmyndra
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrabskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shmyndra form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 1.83 / Shmyndra 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrabskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055086
Hrabskyi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Shmyndra1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHrabskyi3wins
AwayShmyndra6wins
5 of 9 to a deciderShmyndra leads 6–3, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi20%1 of 5
AwayShmyndra50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi5Shmyndra4n = 9Hrabskyi took 5 of 9
S2Hrabskyi2Shmyndra7n = 9Shmyndra took 7 of 9
S3Hrabskyi5Shmyndra4n = 9Hrabskyi took 5 of 9
S4Hrabskyi4Shmyndra5n = 9Shmyndra took 5 of 9
S5Hrabskyi2Shmyndra3n = 5Shmyndra took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricHrabskyiShmyndraH − SBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match41.743.9−2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiShmyndraBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 489 vs 78 / 17544%44.6%215 / 489 vs 78 / 175Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabskyiHrabskyi 1.83/Shmyndra 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hrabskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shmyndra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 12 · 05:50A. Hrabskyi—116951Y. Shmyndra—71111113
WAug 11 · 18:30A. Hrabskyi—1071111113Y. Shmyndra—12117792
LJul 7 · 19:00A. Hrabskyi—57111192Y. Shmyndra—111187113
LJul 1 · 05:50A. Hrabskyi—116791Y. Shmyndra—61111113
WJun 30 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi—1181111113Y. Shmyndra—13118592
LJun 24 · 05:50A. Hrabskyi—117114102Y. Shmyndra—911511123
LJun 23 · 15:20A. Hrabskyi—111269102Y. Shmyndra—8101111123
LJun 10 · 10:50A. Hrabskyi—911951Y. Shmyndra—11711113
WJun 9 · 18:50A. Hrabskyi—11811113Y. Shmyndra—911791
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra1.809111211113A. Hrabskyi1.91114101392LSep 1 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.911071241V. Marushchak1.80121110113WSep 1 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi1.911191111123A. Yurkov1.80911813102
Y. Shmyndra10
LSep 6 · 10:35Y. Shmyndra2.00811101472N. Kovalchuk1.731191212113LSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra1.50101311962O. Mitla2.501211911113LSep 6 · 04:35Y. Shmyndra1.736250S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192LSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:35Y. Shmyndra2.101111106113M. Smyrnov1.6797121182LSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 2 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra1.809111211113A. Hrabskyi1.91114101392
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