TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055305
Played Sep 1Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11991111811131210
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 105 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 42–49 Artem Yurkov Andrii Hrabskyi has won 42 of their 91 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:36What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-49 in 91
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 7 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1632 vs Yurkov 1630
Hrabskyi
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 20% vs Yurkov 40%
Yurkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 40% vs Yurkov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi -2 · Yurkov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 1.91 / Yurkov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Yurkov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13055305
Hrabskyi1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 115 of 277
Down 0–1, comes back26% 42 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 84
Yurkov1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 209 of 354
Up 2–0, closes it92% 82 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it73% 138 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi5wins
AwayYurkov5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyi42.9%3 of 7
AwayYurkov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi7Yurkov3n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S2Hrabskyi7Yurkov3n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S3Hrabskyi1Yurkov9n = 10Yurkov took 9 of 10
S4Hrabskyi7Yurkov3n = 10Hrabskyi took 7 of 10
S5Hrabskyi2Yurkov4n = 6Yurkov took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiYurkovH − YBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.442.7+2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 488 vs 592 / 99043.9%59.8%214 / 488 vs 592 / 990Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.040.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovHrabskyi 1.91/Yurkov 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 07:50A. Hrabskyi—11119113A. Yurkov—891181
WAug 25 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi—11111110113A. Yurkov—13581232
LAug 24 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—128711112A. Yurkov—1011114133
WAug 19 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi—11118113A. Yurkov—651181
LAug 17 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—11169782A. Yurkov—6141111113
WAug 14 · 10:40A. Hrabskyi—111111113A. Yurkov—681381
WAug 12 · 11:20A. Hrabskyi—811911113A. Yurkov—11711392
LAug 11 · 16:00A. Hrabskyi—113711102A. Yurkov—911119123
LAug 10 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—911851A. Yurkov—11711113
LAug 7 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi—11991182A. Yurkov—811119113
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Hrabskyi1.611112113V. Savoliuk2.2091060WSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100LSep 4 · 13:10A. Hrabskyi1.9185110V. Marushchak1.801111133LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi3.755511101A. Lievshin1.2511119123LSep 2 · 12:50A. Hrabskyi3.403560A. Lievshin1.301111113WSep 2 · 10:50V. Marushchak1.80111311982A. Hrabskyi1.91915811113LSep 2 · 08:50Y. Shmyndra1.809111211113A. Hrabskyi1.91114101392LSep 1 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.911071241V. Marushchak1.80121110113LSep 1 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi1.839101161Y. Shmyndra1.8311127113
A. Yurkov10
WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 05:50Y. Shmyndra1.804540A. Yurkov1.911111113LSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113
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