TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060616
Played Sep 2Finished
Yurii Shmyndra
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511411––––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Shmyndra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYurii Shmyndra above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 46 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Yurii Shmyndra at 54.0%
46 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Shmyndra 6–6 Artem Yurkov Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Shmyndra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shmyndra 1630 vs Yurkov 1621
Shmyndra
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shmyndra 100% vs Yurkov 20%
Shmyndra
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shmyndra 70% vs Yurkov 40%
Shmyndra
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shmyndra +5 · Yurkov -1
Shmyndra
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shmyndra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShmyndra 1.80 / Yurkov 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Shmyndra)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060616
Shmyndra1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite46% won 27 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it77% 10 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it56% 14 of 25
Yurkov1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 36 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back29% 13 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShmyndra5wins
AwayYurkov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShmyndra80%4 of 5
AwayYurkov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shmyndra5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S2Shmyndra5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S3Shmyndra6Yurkov4n = 10Shmyndra took 6 of 10
S4Shmyndra3Yurkov2n = 5Shmyndra took 3 of 5
S5Shmyndra1Yurkov2n = 3Yurkov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricShmyndraYurkovS − YBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.235.5+1.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShmyndraYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 177 vs 592 / 99145.2%59.7%80 / 177 vs 592 / 991Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.140.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShmyndraShmyndra 1.80/Yurkov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Shmyndra · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 13:00Y. Shmyndra—1112113A. Yurkov—81050
WAug 12 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra—1211133A. Yurkov—106110
LAug 11 · 14:30Y. Shmyndra—1171191A. Yurkov—13118113
WJul 15 · 08:20Y. Shmyndra—111110113A. Yurkov—861261
LJul 14 · 14:30Y. Shmyndra—8680A. Yurkov—1111113
WJul 7 · 12:30Y. Shmyndra—611145113A. Yurkov—112121162
WJul 1 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra—1111133A. Yurkov—78110
LJun 30 · 19:00Y. Shmyndra—97111192A. Yurkov—111188113
LJun 24 · 07:20Y. Shmyndra—8980A. Yurkov—1111113
LJun 23 · 18:50Y. Shmyndra—116101172A. Yurkov—511128113
Y. Shmyndra10
LSep 6 · 10:35Y. Shmyndra2.00811101472N. Kovalchuk1.731191212113LSep 6 · 09:05Y. Shmyndra1.7381161172V. Vlasenko2.00115112113WSep 6 · 07:35Y. Shmyndra1.8011711113O. Napirko1.91811941LSep 6 · 06:05Y. Shmyndra1.50101311962O. Mitla2.501211911113LSep 6 · 04:35Y. Shmyndra1.736250S. Kalenyk2.001111113WSep 5 · 18:35Y. Shmyndra1.73127118113V. Vlasenko2.00101171192LSep 5 · 16:35S. Berezynskyi1.5391111113Y. Shmyndra2.38116841WSep 5 · 15:35Y. Shmyndra2.101111106113M. Smyrnov1.6797121182LSep 5 · 14:35O. Hura1.8311911113Y. Shmyndra1.83811681WSep 5 · 13:05Y. Shmyndra2.00111111113S. Kalenyk1.73613551
A. Yurkov10
WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113LSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113WSep 1 · 17:00V. Marushchak2.0011611972A. Yurkov1.73811411113
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