TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073463
Played Sep 4Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1127115111012––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 68.2% is still 68.2%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
68.2%
68.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 69 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 68.2%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 41–111 Artem Yurkov Vladimir Voronenko has won 41 of their 152 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-111 in 152
Yurkov
Correct
gap of 70 in 152, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1694 vs Yurkov 1646
Voronenko
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 60% vs Yurkov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 70% vs Yurkov 50%
Voronenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko -2 · Yurkov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 3.00 / Yurkov 1.36
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Yurkov)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13073463
Voronenko3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 65 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Yurkov1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 210 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it92% 83 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it73% 138 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoronenko1wins
AwayYurkov9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayYurkov100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko2Yurkov8n = 10Yurkov took 8 of 10
S2Voronenko3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S3Voronenko4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S4Voronenko1Yurkov5n = 6Yurkov took 5 of 6
S5Voronenko1Yurkov3n = 4Yurkov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoronenkoYurkovV − YBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match34.041.0−7.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 532 vs 595 / 99545.9%59.8%244 / 532 vs 595 / 995Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.040.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovVoronenko 3.00/Yurkov 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.2%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 12:10V. Voronenko—913651A. Yurkov—111111113
LAug 14 · 14:40V. Voronenko—1181191A. Yurkov—61113113
LAug 10 · 11:10V. Voronenko—51060A. Yurkov—1112113
LAug 7 · 12:10V. Voronenko—9780A. Yurkov—1111113
LAug 3 · 13:40V. Voronenko—76111192A. Yurkov—111167113
LJul 27 · 12:10V. Voronenko—6770A. Yurkov—1111113
WJul 24 · 12:10V. Voronenko—119117113A. Yurkov—71191172
LJul 20 · 12:10V. Voronenko—10790A. Yurkov—1211113
LJul 17 · 16:10V. Voronenko—71111852A. Yurkov—119611113
LJul 13 · 14:10V. Voronenko—511111142A. Yurkov—118913113
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091WAug 31 · 10:40V. Voronenko1.731711113P. Plakushchyi2.0015940WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
A. Yurkov10
WSep 4 · 17:10V. Marushchak1.91101191192A. Yurkov1.80122111113LSep 4 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.7351111113A. Yurkov2.00118861LSep 4 · 14:40A. Hrabskyi2.101116123A. Yurkov1.67614100WSep 4 · 12:40V. Savoliuk3.508111181A. Yurkov1.2811136113WSep 2 · 12:20O. Seliuchenko1.91971171A. Yurkov1.8011116113LSep 2 · 11:20A. Lievshin1.8011611113A. Yurkov1.91711961WSep 2 · 09:50V. Marushchak1.918460A. Yurkov1.801111113WSep 2 · 05:50Y. Shmyndra1.804540A. Yurkov1.911111113LSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.00711241A. Lievshin1.7311911113LAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670
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