TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049624
Played Aug 31Finished
Vladimir Voronenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1715119114––––
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeVladimir Voronenko to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Voronenko above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 67 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Vladimir Voronenko at 54.9%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Voronenko 3–2 Pavel Plakushchyi Pavel Plakushchyi has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Voronenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voronenko 1660 vs Plakushchyi 1595
Voronenko
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voronenko 80% vs Plakushchyi 40%
Voronenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voronenko 60% vs Plakushchyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Voronenko +4 · Plakushchyi -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Voronenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voronenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoronenko 1.73 / Plakushchyi 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Voronenko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13049624
Voronenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 31 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Plakushchyi2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 83 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVoronenko3wins
AwayPlakushchyi2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderVoronenko leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoronenko75%3 of 4
AwayPlakushchyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voronenko4Plakushchyi1n = 5Voronenko took 4 of 5
S2Voronenko3Plakushchyi2n = 5Voronenko took 3 of 5
S3Voronenko2Plakushchyi3n = 5Plakushchyi took 3 of 5
S4Voronenko1Plakushchyi2n = 3Plakushchyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricVoronenkoPlakushchyiV − PBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match37.438.2−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoronenkoPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 527 vs 299 / 67245.7%44.5%241 / 527 vs 299 / 672Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoronenkoVoronenko 1.73/Plakushchyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Voronenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Voronenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 10 · 14:40V. Voronenko—11811532P. Plakushchyi—911811113
LJun 26 · 10:40V. Voronenko—4660P. Plakushchyi—1111113
WJun 8 · 16:28V. Voronenko—1112113P. Plakushchyi—51090
WJun 8 · 15:10V. Voronenko—11111115113P. Plakushchyi—76131792
WMay 6 · 05:50V. Voronenko—11117113P. Plakushchyi—681171
V. Voronenko10
LSep 4 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.2591111782A. Hrabskyi1.57116711113LSep 4 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.25811441V. Marushchak1.5711911113WSep 4 · 13:40V. Voronenko1.6111115113V. Savoliuk2.20751171LSep 4 · 12:10V. Voronenko1.912870A. Lievshin1.801111113LSep 4 · 10:40V. Voronenko3.001175101A. Yurkov1.3621111123LAug 31 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.25881161A. Hrabskyi1.5711119113LAug 31 · 15:10V. Voronenko2.2513411512V. Marushchak1.571111411113WAug 31 · 13:40V. Voronenko3.251511113A. Yurkov1.3313670WAug 31 · 12:10V. Voronenko2.1041112113A. Lievshin1.671171091WAug 28 · 16:40V. Voronenko2.50518711113V. Marushchak1.50111611852
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732LSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:55P. Plakushchyi2.25101050O. Gavryshko1.571212113WSep 4 · 13:55P. Plakushchyi2.3811811113A. Chepurnyi1.53811761LSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113LSep 3 · 17:55S. Ponomarenko1.20113911113P. Plakushchyi4.3351111672LSep 3 · 16:55P. Plakushchyi3.75581111102M. Makienko1.25111184123LSep 3 · 15:55E. Rubtsov2.751112113P. Plakushchyi1.4071070WSep 3 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi1.5761111113O. Kovalchuk2.25118781
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