TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073866
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Home
1.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911711117113
Pavel Plakushchyi
Away
6.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 89.3% is still 89.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
89.3%
89.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Pavel Plakushchyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 89 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 89.3%
89 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Dukhovenko 70–28 Pavel Plakushchyi Pavel Plakushchyi has won 28 of their 98 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-28 in 98
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 42 in 98, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1812 vs Plakushchyi 1647
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 40% vs Plakushchyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 50% vs Plakushchyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko +1 · Plakushchyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Dukhovenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plakushchyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 1.10 / Plakushchyi 6.50
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+3.8pp
Setka Cup · #13073866
Dukhovenko1.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite73% won 198 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it98% 124 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it91% 153 of 168
Plakushchyi6.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 86 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 153
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDukhovenko10wins
AwayPlakushchyi0wins
Dukhovenko leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDukhovenko100%10 of 10
AwayPlakushchyin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dukhovenko10Plakushchyi0n = 10Dukhovenko took 10 of 10
S2Dukhovenko10Plakushchyi0n = 10Dukhovenko took 10 of 10
S3Dukhovenko9Plakushchyi1n = 10Dukhovenko took 9 of 10
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home990%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDukhovenkoPlakushchyiD − PBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match34.616.3+18.3per matchSweeps90+93–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoPlakushchyiBasisWin rate · lifetime530 / 851 vs 307 / 68662.3%44.8%530 / 851 vs 307 / 686Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoDukhovenko 1.10/Plakushchyi 6.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.3%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 25 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko—1111113P. Plakushchyi—3270
WJul 20 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko—1111113P. Plakushchyi—2480
WJul 13 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko—1111113P. Plakushchyi—2770
WJul 12 · 02:55O. Dukhovenko—1112113P. Plakushchyi—51050
WJul 6 · 24:25O. Dukhovenko—1111113P. Plakushchyi—5510
WJul 4 · 21:55O. Dukhovenko—1111113P. Plakushchyi—2620
WJun 21 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko—1111133P. Plakushchyi—34110
WJun 21 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko—1111113P. Plakushchyi—8860
WJun 19 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko—111113113P. Plakushchyi—531561
WJun 14 · 21:55O. Dukhovenko—1111113P. Plakushchyi—5330
O. Dukhovenko10
LSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921WSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113WSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113WSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113WSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192WSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621WSep 5 · 21:55O. Dukhovenko1.281111113I. Demchenko3.504930
P. Plakushchyi10
LSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:55P. Plakushchyi2.25101050O. Gavryshko1.571212113WSep 4 · 13:55P. Plakushchyi2.3811811113A. Chepurnyi1.53811761LSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113LSep 3 · 17:55S. Ponomarenko1.20113911113P. Plakushchyi4.3351111672LSep 3 · 16:55P. Plakushchyi3.75581111102M. Makienko1.25111184123LSep 3 · 15:55E. Rubtsov2.751112113P. Plakushchyi1.4071070WSep 3 · 14:25P. Plakushchyi1.5761111113O. Kovalchuk2.25118781WSep 3 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi1.539111111113O. Kovalchuk2.3811981372
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