TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084096
Played Sep 7Finished
Mykhailo Makienko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511711117611––
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Makienko above · Oleksandr Dukhovenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 69 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 55.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Makienko 1–3 Oleksandr Dukhovenko Mykhailo Makienko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:58What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Makienko 1763 vs Dukhovenko 1898
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makienko 60% vs Dukhovenko 100%
Dukhovenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makienko 60% vs Dukhovenko 100%
Dukhovenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Makienko -1 · Dukhovenko +5
Dukhovenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dukhovenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dukhovenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakienko 2.00 / Dukhovenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13084096
Makienko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog59% won 16 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back31% 4 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Dukhovenko1.73
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 205 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it98% 127 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it91% 159 of 175
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMakienko1wins
AwayDukhovenko3wins
3 of 4 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakienkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayDukhovenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makienko0Dukhovenko4n = 4Dukhovenko took 4 of 4
S2Makienko0Dukhovenko4n = 4Dukhovenko took 4 of 4
S3Makienko3Dukhovenko1n = 4Makienko took 3 of 4
S4Makienko3Dukhovenko0n = 3Makienko took 3 of 3
S5Makienko1Dukhovenko2n = 3Dukhovenko took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMakienkoDukhovenkoM − DBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match42.045.2−3.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakienkoDukhovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 103 vs 535 / 85264.1%62.8%66 / 103 vs 535 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoMakienko 2.00/Dukhovenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 6 · 01:25M. Makienko—810111192O. Dukhovenko—111267113
WAug 29 · 22:25M. Makienko—881312113O. Dukhovenko—1111111082
LAug 28 · 14:55M. Makienko—74111142O. Dukhovenko—111157113
LAug 22 · 22:55M. Makienko—14790O. Dukhovenko—1611113
M. Makienko10
LSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661LSep 7 · 24:55I. Demchenko2.631111113M. Makienko1.449690WSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113WSep 6 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.75810100M. Makienko1.401112123LSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172WSep 6 · 02:55I. Demchenko2.1010770M. Makienko1.671211113LSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192LSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113WSep 3 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk3.75119251M. Makienko1.2531111113
O. Dukhovenko10
LSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921WSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113WSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113WSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192WSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621WSep 5 · 21:55O. Dukhovenko1.281111113I. Demchenko3.504930WSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732
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