TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084909
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
81110121012––––
Mykhailo Makienko
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Makienko to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mishchenko above · Mykhailo Makienko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 63 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Mykhailo Makienko at 67.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mishchenko 10–9 Mykhailo Makienko Mykhailo Makienko has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Makienko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mishchenko 1565 vs Makienko 1757
Makienko
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mishchenko 20% vs Makienko 40%
Makienko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mishchenko 20% vs Makienko 70%
Makienko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mishchenko -4 · Makienko -1
Mishchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Makienko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makienko form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMishchenko 2.75 / Makienko 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Makienko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084909
Mishchenko2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 90 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back12% 17 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Makienko1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 47 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMishchenko4wins
AwayMakienko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMakienko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMishchenko75%3 of 4
AwayMakienko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mishchenko4Makienko6n = 10Makienko took 6 of 10
S2Mishchenko3Makienko7n = 10Makienko took 7 of 10
S3Mishchenko6Makienko4n = 10Mishchenko took 6 of 10
S4Mishchenko3Makienko5n = 8Makienko took 5 of 8
S5Mishchenko2Makienko1n = 3Mishchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMishchenkoMakienkoMishchenko − MakienkoBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.140.5−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMishchenkoMakienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 1056 vs 64 / 10046.9%64%495 / 1056 vs 64 / 100Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakienkoMishchenko 2.75/Makienko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Makienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Makienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 18:55O. Mishchenko—1011115102M. Makienko—127711123
LAug 30 · 02:25O. Mishchenko—1268101M. Makienko—101111123
WAug 28 · 18:55O. Mishchenko—117911143M. Makienko—811116122
LAug 26 · 04:25O. Mishchenko—811581M. Makienko—11711113
WAug 23 · 23:25O. Mishchenko—971111113M. Makienko—11119382
LAug 22 · 21:55O. Mishchenko—591181M. Makienko—11119113
LAug 20 · 20:25O. Mishchenko—8670M. Makienko—1111113
WAug 19 · 23:25O. Mishchenko—11413113M. Makienko—7111191
LAug 18 · 22:25O. Mishchenko—871161M. Makienko—11116113
WAug 12 · 22:25O. Mishchenko—1112173M. Makienko—510150
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123LSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113LSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113LSep 6 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.2597111162I. Demchenko1.57111155113LSep 4 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.4011112113O. Mishchenko2.75591191LSep 4 · 18:55A. Chepurnyi1.441111113O. Mishchenko2.639850LSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840WSep 4 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.5711511482O. Mishchenko2.25611511113WSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113
M. Makienko10
LSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661LSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113LSep 7 · 24:55I. Demchenko2.631111113M. Makienko1.449690WSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172WSep 6 · 02:55I. Demchenko2.1010770M. Makienko1.671211113LSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192LSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113WSep 3 · 20:25O. Kovalchuk3.75119251M. Makienko1.2531111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.