TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084262
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleg Gavryshko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
41112105111012––
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 65.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 49–29 Oleksandr Mishchenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 29 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:38What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Gavryshko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-29 in 78
Gavryshko
Wrong
gap of 20 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1771 vs Mishchenko 1554
Gavryshko
Wrong
both rated, 217 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 20% vs Mishchenko 0%
Gavryshko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 50% vs Mishchenko 20%
Gavryshko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko +1 · Mishchenko -5
Mishchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Gavryshko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 1.40 / Mishchenko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Gavryshko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084262
Gavryshko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 81 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it85% 71 of 84
Mishchenko2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog37% won 90 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back12% 17 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGavryshko7wins
AwayMishchenko3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGavryshko100%5 of 5
AwayMishchenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko5Mishchenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Gavryshko4Mishchenko6n = 10Mishchenko took 6 of 10
S3Gavryshko7Mishchenko3n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S4Gavryshko3Mishchenko2n = 5Gavryshko took 3 of 5
S5Gavryshko4Mishchenko1n = 5Gavryshko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGavryshkoMishchenkoG − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.836.9+0.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 623 vs 492 / 105252.8%46.8%329 / 623 vs 492 / 1052Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoGavryshko 1.40/Mishchenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mishchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 03:25O. Gavryshko—117411113O. Mishchenko—81111882
WAug 9 · 02:55O. Gavryshko—1111113O. Mishchenko—8780
WAug 3 · 03:25O. Gavryshko—1181110133O. Mishchenko—811812112
WJul 15 · 22:25O. Gavryshko—911119113O. Mishchenko—11981142
LJul 12 · 23:55O. Gavryshko—97131162O. Mishchenko—1111119113
WJun 14 · 01:55O. Gavryshko—771111113O. Mishchenko—11117582
LJun 8 · 03:25O. Gavryshko—10120O. Mishchenko—1211113
LJun 5 · 15:25O. Gavryshko—7880O. Mishchenko—1111113
WApr 30 · 01:25O. Gavryshko—1111123O. Mishchenko—72100
WApr 29 · 04:05O. Gavryshko—1111123O. Mishchenko—88100
O. Gavryshko10
WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133LSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.4011112113O. Mishchenko2.75591191
O. Mishchenko10
LSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113LSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113LSep 6 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.2597111162I. Demchenko1.57111155113LSep 6 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.75810100M. Makienko1.401112123LSep 4 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.4011112113O. Mishchenko2.75591191LSep 4 · 18:55A. Chepurnyi1.441111113O. Mishchenko2.639850LSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481LSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840WSep 4 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.5711511482O. Mishchenko2.25611511113WSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113
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