TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073961
Played Sep 4Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118114––––
Oleksandr Mishchenko
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 81.0% is still 81.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
81.0%
81.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Oleksandr Mishchenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 50 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 81.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 70–24 Oleksandr Mishchenko Oleksandr Mishchenko has won 24 of their 94 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kryvorotko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-24 in 94
Kryvorotko
Correct
gap of 46 in 94, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1826 vs Mishchenko 1565
Kryvorotko
Correct
both rated, 260 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 60% vs Mishchenko 40%
Kryvorotko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 40% vs Mishchenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko -1 · Mishchenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mishchenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.22 / Mishchenko 4.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073961
Kryvorotko1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 129 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it81% 79 of 98
Mishchenko4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 89 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back12% 16 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko8wins
AwayMishchenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKryvorotko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko85.7%6 of 7
AwayMishchenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko7Mishchenko3n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S2Kryvorotko7Mishchenko3n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S3Kryvorotko7Mishchenko3n = 10Kryvorotko took 7 of 10
S4Kryvorotko4Mishchenko2n = 6Kryvorotko took 4 of 6
S5Kryvorotko2Mishchenko1n = 3Kryvorotko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoMishchenkoK − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.732.4+8.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoMishchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 503 vs 495 / 105664.4%46.9%324 / 503 vs 495 / 1056Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.22/Mishchenko 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kryvorotko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko—11611113O. Mishchenko—711771
WAug 28 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko—1117123O. Mishchenko—515100
WAug 22 · 23:25Y. Kryvorotko—1111113O. Mishchenko—4950
WJul 19 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko—1111113O. Mishchenko—6880
WJul 17 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko—71111113O. Mishchenko—117461
WJun 28 · 03:55Y. Kryvorotko—9111011113O. Mishchenko—11612562
WJun 14 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko—1111133O. Mishchenko—94110
LJun 5 · 18:55Y. Kryvorotko—117117102O. Mishchenko—911911123
LApr 18 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko—9117111O. Mishchenko—11811133
WApr 11 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko—119911113O. Mishchenko—81111142
Y. Kryvorotko10
LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113LSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100WAug 30 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko2.0010230Y. Kryvorotko1.731211113
O. Mishchenko10
WSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123LSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113LSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113LSep 6 · 23:55O. Mishchenko2.2597111162I. Demchenko1.57111155113LSep 6 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.75810100M. Makienko1.401112123LSep 4 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.4011112113O. Mishchenko2.75591191LSep 4 · 18:55A. Chepurnyi1.441111113O. Mishchenko2.639850LSep 4 · 17:25P. Plakushchyi1.6711511113O. Mishchenko2.10711481WSep 4 · 13:25O. Dukhovenko1.5711511482O. Mishchenko2.25611511113WSep 3 · 19:55P. Plakushchyi1.7341080O. Mishchenko2.001112113
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