TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078951
Played Sep 6Finished
Yevhenii Kryvorotko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911911811––
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Oleksandr Dukhovenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 89–63 Oleksandr Dukhovenko Oleksandr Dukhovenko has won 63 of their 152 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:39What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kryvorotko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
89-63 in 152
Kryvorotko
Wrong
gap of 26 in 152, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1806 vs Dukhovenko 1866
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 40% vs Dukhovenko 100%
Dukhovenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 60% vs Dukhovenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko +1 · Dukhovenko +5
Dukhovenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dukhovenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.80 / Dukhovenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13078951
Kryvorotko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 132 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it80% 81 of 101
Dukhovenko1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko5wins
AwayDukhovenko5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko33.3%2 of 6
AwayDukhovenko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko6Dukhovenko4n = 10Kryvorotko took 6 of 10
S2Kryvorotko4Dukhovenko6n = 10Dukhovenko took 6 of 10
S3Kryvorotko5Dukhovenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kryvorotko3Dukhovenko5n = 8Dukhovenko took 5 of 8
S5Kryvorotko4Dukhovenko3n = 7Kryvorotko took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoDukhovenkoK − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.142.6+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoDukhovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 504 vs 532 / 85263.9%62.4%322 / 504 vs 532 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.80/Dukhovenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko—119981O. Dukhovenko—81111113
WSep 4 · 16:25Y. Kryvorotko—4121111113O. Dukhovenko—11146572
WAug 30 · 03:55Y. Kryvorotko—1211113O. Dukhovenko—10230
LAug 28 · 16:25Y. Kryvorotko—111411382O. Dukhovenko—516711113
LAug 23 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko—111112872O. Dukhovenko—7131011113
WAug 21 · 17:25Y. Kryvorotko—1410119113O. Dukhovenko—121291192
WAug 15 · 23:55Y. Kryvorotko—711811113O. Dukhovenko—11611862
WAug 14 · 14:55Y. Kryvorotko—1111511113O. Dukhovenko—13911722
LAug 2 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko—111242112O. Dukhovenko—9101111133
LJul 25 · 18:25Y. Kryvorotko—71060O. Dukhovenko—1112113
Y. Kryvorotko10
WSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820LSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4011611113I. Demchenko2.75911781LSep 5 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko1.8081113972M. Makienko1.911181111113LSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113WSep 4 · 18:25P. Plakushchyi3.50411116122Y. Kryvorotko1.28115311143WSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Kryvorotko1.221111113O. Mishchenko4.005840LSep 4 · 14:25O. Gavryshko2.251111123Y. Kryvorotko1.5777100WAug 30 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko2.0010230Y. Kryvorotko1.731211113
O. Dukhovenko10
LSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921WSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113WSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113WSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113WSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192WSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621LSep 4 · 16:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111146572Y. Kryvorotko1.804121111113LAug 30 · 03:55O. Dukhovenko2.0010230Y. Kryvorotko1.731211113
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