TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084259
Played Sep 6Finished
Artem Chepurnyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118811511––
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Chepurnyi above · Oleksandr Dukhovenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 64.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Artem Chepurnyi 59–136 Oleksandr Dukhovenko Artem Chepurnyi has won 59 of their 195 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:38What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-136 in 195
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 77 in 195, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chepurnyi 1753 vs Dukhovenko 1887
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chepurnyi 60% vs Dukhovenko 100%
Dukhovenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chepurnyi 60% vs Dukhovenko 90%
Dukhovenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chepurnyi +2 · Dukhovenko +5
Dukhovenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dukhovenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dukhovenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChepurnyi 2.50 / Dukhovenko 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084259
Chepurnyi2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 43 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Dukhovenko1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 205 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it98% 127 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it91% 159 of 175
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChepurnyi4wins
AwayDukhovenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChepurnyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayDukhovenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chepurnyi3Dukhovenko7n = 10Dukhovenko took 7 of 10
S2Chepurnyi6Dukhovenko4n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S3Chepurnyi5Dukhovenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Chepurnyi3Dukhovenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Chepurnyi1Dukhovenko2n = 3Dukhovenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChepurnyiDukhovenkoC − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.236.8−0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChepurnyiDukhovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime561 / 945 vs 533 / 85259.4%62.6%561 / 945 vs 533 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoChepurnyi 2.50/Dukhovenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi—7131391O. Dukhovenko—111511113
WAug 14 · 13:25A. Chepurnyi—1111113O. Dukhovenko—6260
WAug 10 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi—1111115113O. Dukhovenko—13691192
LAug 9 · 03:25A. Chepurnyi—1151051O. Dukhovenko—81112113
LAug 7 · 19:25A. Chepurnyi—11860O. Dukhovenko—131193
LAug 3 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi—101151182O. Dukhovenko—124115113
WAug 1 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi—1111113O. Dukhovenko—6890
LJul 25 · 19:25A. Chepurnyi—91221192O. Dukhovenko—1110117113
WJul 19 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi—111111113O. Dukhovenko—135881
LJun 29 · 02:55A. Chepurnyi—6470O. Dukhovenko—1111113
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661WSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113WSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113WSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113WSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172LSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820WSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621LSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113
O. Dukhovenko10
LSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921WSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113WSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113WSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113WSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192WSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621WSep 5 · 21:55O. Dukhovenko1.281111113I. Demchenko3.504930WSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.