TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084772
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleg Gavryshko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
14127111181214911
Artem Chepurnyi
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Artem Chepurnyi below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 109 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 54.0%
109 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 47–52 Artem Chepurnyi Oleg Gavryshko has won 47 of their 99 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:48What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chepurnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-52 in 99
Chepurnyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1794 vs Chepurnyi 1745
Gavryshko
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 20% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Chepurnyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 40% vs Chepurnyi 60%
Chepurnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko -4 · Chepurnyi -1
Gavryshko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gavryshko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gavryshko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 1.83 / Chepurnyi 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gavryshko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13084772
Gavryshko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Chepurnyi1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGavryshko8wins
AwayChepurnyi2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGavryshko100%6 of 6
AwayChepurnyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko6Chepurnyi4n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S2Gavryshko6Chepurnyi4n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S3Gavryshko7Chepurnyi3n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S4Gavryshko5Chepurnyi4n = 9Gavryshko took 5 of 9
S5Gavryshko3Chepurnyi1n = 4Gavryshko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGavryshkoChepurnyiG − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.239.4+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoChepurnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 623 vs 561 / 94653.1%59.3%331 / 623 vs 561 / 946Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoGavryshko 1.83/Chepurnyi 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 22:25O. Gavryshko—1113113A. Chepurnyi—91170
LSep 4 · 16:55O. Gavryshko—911118102A. Chepurnyi—119711123
WAug 29 · 22:55O. Gavryshko—111110113A. Chepurnyi—981291
WAug 28 · 15:55O. Gavryshko—128119113A. Chepurnyi—101181192
WAug 16 · 21:25O. Gavryshko—11911113A. Chepurnyi—811381
WAug 15 · 23:25O. Gavryshko—11311113A. Chepurnyi—911791
WAug 14 · 19:55O. Gavryshko—1171112113A. Chepurnyi—131181082
WAug 9 · 21:55O. Gavryshko—411115113A. Chepurnyi—11541182
WAug 8 · 21:55O. Gavryshko—11117113A. Chepurnyi—551191
LAug 7 · 13:55O. Gavryshko—714291A. Chepurnyi—111211113
O. Gavryshko10
LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 21:25O. Gavryshko2.50981191O. Dukhovenko1.5011118113LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133LSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.4011112113O. Mishchenko2.75591191
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 7 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi2.2051111113M. Makienko1.61117661WSep 7 · 02:25O. Mishchenko2.20111060A. Chepurnyi1.611312113LSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 22:25I. Demchenko2.501113751A. Chepurnyi1.5071511113WSep 6 · 03:55A. Chepurnyi2.00813117113M. Makienko1.73111181172LSep 6 · 01:55Y. Kryvorotko1.611311113A. Chepurnyi2.2011820WSep 6 · 24:55A. Chepurnyi1.441051114123I. Demchenko2.631211912102LSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621LSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 20:25Y. Kryvorotko1.61118251A. Chepurnyi2.2061111113
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