TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084844
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleg Gavryshko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911811118911––
Oleksandr Dukhovenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:08 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Oleksandr Dukhovenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 60.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 56–85 Oleksandr Dukhovenko Oleg Gavryshko has won 56 of their 141 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-85 in 141
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 29 in 141, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1821 vs Dukhovenko 1877
Dukhovenko
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 60% vs Dukhovenko 100%
Dukhovenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 60% vs Dukhovenko 80%
Dukhovenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko -2 · Dukhovenko +5
Dukhovenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dukhovenko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dukhovenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 2.50 / Dukhovenko 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Dukhovenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13084844
Gavryshko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 58
Dukhovenko1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 205 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it98% 127 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it91% 159 of 175
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGavryshko6wins
AwayDukhovenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGavryshko71.4%5 of 7
AwayDukhovenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko7Dukhovenko3n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S2Gavryshko4Dukhovenko6n = 10Dukhovenko took 6 of 10
S3Gavryshko6Dukhovenko4n = 10Gavryshko took 6 of 10
S4Gavryshko1Dukhovenko5n = 6Dukhovenko took 5 of 6
S5Gavryshko3Dukhovenko1n = 4Gavryshko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGavryshkoDukhovenkoG − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.4+1.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoDukhovenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 622 vs 532 / 85253.4%62.4%332 / 622 vs 532 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoGavryshko 2.50/Dukhovenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 17:55O. Gavryshko—1141081O. Dukhovenko—31112113
LAug 30 · 01:55O. Gavryshko—12950O. Dukhovenko—1411113
LAug 28 · 17:55O. Gavryshko—9790O. Dukhovenko—1111113
WAug 17 · 24:25O. Gavryshko—1111123O. Dukhovenko—94100
WAug 16 · 03:55O. Gavryshko—129123113O. Dukhovenko—1011101142
WAug 14 · 17:55O. Gavryshko—128119123O. Dukhovenko—1011811102
WAug 10 · 02:25O. Gavryshko—151011113O. Dukhovenko—1312881
LAug 8 · 22:55O. Gavryshko—111310862O. Dukhovenko—5111211113
WAug 7 · 14:55O. Gavryshko—811117133O. Dukhovenko—117611112
WAug 2 · 21:25O. Gavryshko—1113113O. Dukhovenko—71140
O. Gavryshko10
LSep 7 · 03:25O. Gavryshko1.404125101O. Mishchenko2.75111011123WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko1.3661111123I. Demchenko3.001198101LSep 7 · 24:25O. Gavryshko1.83147111292A. Chepurnyi1.831211814113LSep 6 · 22:55O. Gavryshko1.7325670M. Makienko2.002711113LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko1.30127110I. Demchenko3.401411133LSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 24:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6111561272O. Gavryshko2.205111110113WSep 5 · 23:25O. Gavryshko1.831211113M. Makienko1.8310870WSep 5 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi1.8391170O. Gavryshko1.831113113WSep 4 · 19:55O. Gavryshko1.4011112113O. Mishchenko2.75591191
O. Dukhovenko10
LSep 7 · 03:55I. Demchenko3.7511611113O. Dukhovenko1.25911921WSep 7 · 02:55M. Makienko2.00571161O. Dukhovenko1.7311117113WSep 7 · 01:25O. Mishchenko2.38611881O. Dukhovenko1.5311811113WSep 6 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.50811851O. Dukhovenko1.5011811113WSep 6 · 03:25Y. Kryvorotko1.80119981O. Dukhovenko1.9181111113WSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko1.50111169113O. Gavryshko2.5059111182WSep 6 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111267113M. Makienko2.10810111192WSep 5 · 23:55O. Dukhovenko1.5011511113A. Chepurnyi2.50511621WSep 5 · 21:55O. Dukhovenko1.281111113I. Demchenko3.504930WSep 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.10119711113P. Plakushchyi6.5081111732
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